Santa Anita Derby Day 04-08-2017 Free Plays

It’s Derby Day at Santa Anita and boy do we have a daunting card awaiting us. Yesterday’s chalkfest turned out to be far from that with odds on horses running like 10-1 shots and even with those horses not winning the payouts were still rather low. I kept our tickets to tiny sizes yesterday so we do have ammo for today but the way races have been shaking out lately I am again looking to keep tickets on the low end but I have some very nice longshot potentials too. The Pick 5 sequence today starts on the Hillside course with a morning line favorite of 4-1! The Pick 4 today starts with a wide open Santa Anita Derby in race 8 and is a cool $1 million Guaranteed! The Santa Anita Derby has been won by horse 5-1 or less 85%.

 

https://californiapick4.com/handicapping-products/

                   

Possible singles today:

In race 3 XXX

 

In race 6 It Tiz Well enter on a 2 race win streak and has won 3 of the last 4 and Nakatani/Dorf are 4 of 5

 

In race 7 Avicii comes out again for Hollendorfer with Prat riding and they are 41%, in the last 9 race has finished in the exacta including 4 wins so is always right there, use with Brookes All Mine in exotic bets

 

In race 8 the Santa Anita Derby I believe Reach the World is the one to beat. 2nd by a neck last out going slightly shorter, sharp works into this and Smith is 38% for Baffert

 

Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these

Race 1: XXX

Race 4: XXX

Race 10: Ninety Nine Proof, unbeaten in 3 starts, Iggy hops back on and he won both races he rode, trainer is 26% 2nd off the layoff and 23% winner last race and we get 15-1, this is a big jump in class and added distance but that’s why we get this price

Race 11: XXX

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $18 with horses listed in preference.

2,9

1,X,4

8,5

3,X,9

 

Today’s Pick 5 will cost $18 with horses listed in preference.

XX

XX

XX

XX

XX

 

Race 6-7

2,4

6,9

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

 

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”