Another 3 out of 4 on Sunday but if there is a positive its that we have been right there over the last several days ready to hit the big one and this weekend is the Breeders Cup! Let go out there and build a nice bankroll for what looks to be the Best Breeders Cup series ever!
The Pick 5 ends with an $8k claimer and that also begins the late Pick 4. I am not spending much on the tickets today but have a good mix of favorites and longshots.
For my Breeders Cup Special this weekend I have gone through every horse racing and made notes on their form. Horses that have their entire write-up in bold are my top contenders but there are also horses with just their names bolded as ones with a chance. I have listed under each race the suggested picks for Pick 4, 3 and double legs as well as trifecta and superfecta selections. These are suggestions for every race and dependent on each punter what they use or don’t. I have given many options for the Breeders Cup cards for punters who bet small to big. I have included for free today Saturday’s Breeders Cup Race 5 write-up to give you an idea of what to expect. The price for the Friday Breeders Cup Card will be $15 and the Saturday Card will be $25. Get them today for $30 and saves 33%.
Saturday Race 5: Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf 1 1/4 mile
31 races sample size
Stats: Favorite wins 35%, under 5-1 is 55%, over 5-1 wins 45% with 10% of that over 10-1
PP1: Sea Calisi, 2 wins, second and third last 4 G1/2’s, 3rd last race Oct 8, sharp workout last week but lost to top choice Lady Eli, possible though
PP2: Catch a Glimpse, beaten fav 2 weeks ago – pass
PP3: Seventh Heaven, Aiden horse ran 2 weeks ago to 5th place, pass on this one
PP4: Avenge, has won 3 in a row including G1 last, sharp works, 1 for 1 at distance must use at big price
PP5: Al’s Gal, won 2 in row including G1 last out, 2-2-0 record from 6 at distance, works slow, raced 2 weeks ago, pass
PP6: Zipessa, ran second last out G1 as fav for a trainer who wins 22% beaten fav, slow works, prefer others
PP7: Sentiero Italiara, same race as last one, slow works prefer others
PP8: Lady Eli, 7 of 8 sharp works, need I say more? must use
PP9: Ryans Charm, Peru invader has won 6 in a row including a G1 last out and has a record of 6-1-0 from 10 at distance, 4 month break, I pass on So Americans but possible
PP10: Kitcat, ran second Oct 8 off 3 month break in US debut, won 4 prior G1/2 in Chile, possible
PP11: Queens Trust, UK invader winless in 2016, next
PP12: Pretty Perfect, Aidan horse ran 4th 2 weeks ago, pass
PP13: Nuovo Record, Asian invader winless in 2016, next
Pick 4: 8,4 (1)
Trifecta Box 8,4,1
Trifecta Key box 8 with 4,1,9
Superfecta Box 8,4,1,9
TVG win bet 4
Preorder the Breeders Cup 2 day pass for $30! Get my detailed analysis of the full Breeders Cup card for both days including Pick 3,4 and 5 selections as well as longshots and potential Best Bets. The BC has seen some big longshots in recent years and with lots of Euro invaders, our specialty, we are going to try and hit a lot of those prices!
Get today’s full card for only $8
Pick 4 “I need a Single” is in race 8 Pattin for a Dance with the Desormeaux brothers teaming up and they are 2-0-2 last 5, trainer wins 20% maiden claiming, ran 2nd going shorter last out closing so distance looks good
Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these
Race 5: Seeking Shamrocks, trainer has won 5 of 8 dropping multiple classes like this
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $18 with horses listed in preference
Races 1-5 selections and also for $27 or $54 Pick 5, exacta and trifecta boxes
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Whenever we have a scratch of a suggested play in a sequence go to the website using the password that is emailed out with each card to see if there are any needed changes. If there is a late scratch after a bet is done and I do not put in an alternative it means I am looking to getting the post time favorite. If it is an early scratch and I do not add in an extra horse it means I am looking to just having one less selection in the sequence and a cheaper bet. Be sure to check the site to see if there are any changes prior to the Pick 4 and Pick 5 sequences
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”