You can handicap till the cows come home but a bad jockey ride is a bad ride and it will kill your bets every time and we saw that yesterday in both the Pick 5 and Pick 4. We had some nice prices in that Pick 5 too which is annoying! Nice pays done in by bad rides. The capping was there so lets charge ahead to today’s possibly rain filled card and start building that bankroll!
I will have a detailed card for the Breeders Cup next week
Rain is forecast for the Friday racecard and as such my bets are on the low end. Off track days I usually don’t want to spend much on tickets!
Get today’s full card for only $8
https://californiapick4.com/handicapping-products/
Pick 4 “I need a Single” is in race 5 Cammy’s Music who is dropping huge from an $80k maiden claiming race last out for a trainer who is 2 of 3 on this move, sharp work, big weight break with apprentice in saddle, seems they want the win cash and are doing everything they can but sticking a rocket up its butt to win! I am also using the Bejarano horse in here as a back-up given how cheap the ticket is!
Best Bets: I debated making Saint Loup a single in race two but I will be doing rolling doubles, Pick 3’s and trifecatas keying off this hopefully 12-1 price. The double with Vibe in race 2 and this horse is worth taking a small stab at as well.
Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these
Race 3: Saint Loup, off since January 2015 where he ran 4th closing on the hill after a slow start, class towers over these I hope we get that 12-1 morning line!
Race 5: Call the Queen, ran second throughout debut race before faltering in stretch, a couple of bullets since that race, great price I prefer over the favorite!
Race 8: Hopefully, hopefully we are still alive to this leg! Ellis horse and I usually dont back if Talamo is not riding but Brice rode the debut race (and we did not back and she ran 8th) in August, a couple of bullets this month including a best of 56 last week for a trainer who wins 32% off the bench like this and we get 12-1
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $12 with horses listed in preference
6,7
4,1
5,2
6,8,9
Races 1-5 selections and also for $24 Pick 5, exacta and trifecta boxes
1,2
6 (4)
2,5,3,9
5,2,3
6,7
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Whenever we have a scratch of a suggested play in a sequence go to the website using the password that is emailed out with each card to see if there are any needed changes. If there is a late scratch after a bet is done and I do not put in an alternative it means I am looking to getting the post time favorite. If it is an early scratch and I do not add in an extra horse it means I am looking to just having one less selection in the sequence and a cheaper bet. Be sure to check the site to see if there are any changes prior to the Pick 4 and Pick 5 sequences
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”