Santa Anita 10-22-2016 Full Card

UPDATE: Race 6 use #10 Highly Acclaimed on Cut not getting in off AE

 

 

The Pick 5 paid almost $50k yesterday for 50c and the Pick 4 paid almost $30k! Need we say more! Two of our longshots got beaten on the line yesterday, our 8-1 shot in race 2 and then in the 1st leg of the Pick 4 our longshot looked like a sure winner in the stretch on the hill before bobbling slightly and getting tagged on the line by a 90-1 horse!

 

The Pick 5 today starts with an $8k claimer and the Pick 4 starts on the Hillside course and has another race on the Hill but you know what, I like the sequences!

 

 

Pick 4 “I need a Single” is in race 6 Cut and as of the writing of this is still on the AE list. There is no real standout single in the sequence today

 

In the Pick 5 today race 4 has 2 standout horses both around 9/5 but this particular race is won by the favorite 17% only and horses over 5-1 win 60%. Did I mention its on the hillside course too? As this is the Hill I am going to look for a late runner and Somethings Unusual loves to fly from the clouds, won last out going longer and is 8-1

 

Best Bets: no standouts today

 

 

 

Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these

Race 3: Brookes All Mine, Talamo is starting to heat up and when he does pay attention, 1-1 at this distance on dirt and has won this distance on turf too, dropping in class for trainer who has a big ROI on sprint to route and 40% win rate

Race 5: Absolutely Stylish, Baffert races an odds on in here with ok works but Desormeaux rides here when he brother is racing a horse, daddy wins 18% 1st time starters, nice works

Race 7: Royal F J, I find it unusual that Prat ends up on this old timer at 12-1 today but he wins 30% with this trainer, 70% in the money and he has been on fire in recent days on his few mounts here so we have to use, showed late pace last race so major jockey upgrade means major chance in my books

Race 8: Fueled by Bourbon, has won 3 of 5 on the hill, off the bench after 2 month break with a sharp work, Baze has been heating up and does well with trainer who has positive ROI across the board, 8-1 nice price

Race 8: Banze No Oesta, Desormeaux is winning 47% for Miller, won last race

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $40.50 with horses listed in preference

11,3,6

3,5,4

5,3,1

11,6,4

 

Races 1-5 selections and also for $24 Pick 5, exacta and trifecta boxes

3,4

1,6

1,2

1,3,4

3,4

 

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

 

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

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