The Pick 4 today is a very tough one with big fields with big prices including an $8k claimer and if the so, so favorites in each leg fail to win this has the makings of some large payoffs. The last race is on Da Hill with horses over 10-1 winning 20%. Quite often on tickets I will leave the most obvious horses off be it to poor jockey, trainer angles or that I just believe they are beatable favorites. If you have convictions on those horses however add them to the tickets. I try to keep my ideas priced below the $40 mark and that gives lots of room for those of you who are willing to play higher tickets values.
HALF PRICE SUNDAY
Get today’s full card for only $4
Pick 4 “I need a Single” – there is no standout single today with two Hillside races and an $8k claimer keeping this ticket on the low end was tough. If the favorites win the legs today it will pay small and the morning lines suggest that but, and its a big but, when it seems chalky with large fields chaos almost always ensues! If you must have a single in race 7 the Bejarano/Baffert Global Event would be the horse but the works are so-so and with Baffert’s like this they either win by half the track or come in 4th
In the Pick 5 in race XXXXXXX
Best Bets: longshot shopping today
Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these
Race 7: Pinellas Pride, good race to take a swing on a 1st timer, da wins 18%, sharp works into debut, trainer winning 25% debut races and 29% debut maiden claiming (scratched)
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference
Races 1-5 selections and also for $24 Pick 5, exacta and trifecta boxes
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”