You come so close to the big payday on Friday and then you wiff on Saturday, such is the life of a horseplayer! It was a very hard card yesterday although the Pick 5 only paid $464 despite an odds on Baffert losing to a 9-1 shot in race 2. The Pick 4 saw us knocked out in the first leg as we ran second again and the sequence ended up only paying $155. We then rattled off the next three wins to hit the rolling doubles and Pick 3’s. Low pays but it was a hard card to cap! We continue to be right there with 4 of 5 or 3 of 4 and when we miss its cause we run second so not much adjustment is needed right now, just a little more racing luck! I’m spending a little more today on the Pick 5 and the sequence looks nice for some rolling doubles and Pick 3’s. For races where I have only 2 selections today look to add in gate time high prices for the super’s!
Pick 4 “I need a Single” is going to be in race 8 Luminance from the Baffert/Bejarano tandem who lost on their odds on choice in race 2 yesterday. It’s always a tough single with Bafferts but a string of sharp works in a sequence we need a single. If you have cash to spend you could throw in Wild At Heart with Smith riding as he usually plays spoiler on our tickets these days
Best Bets: In race 3 exacta box with 1/2 and a rolling double with 2 and the longshot mentioned below
Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these
Race 1: Velvet Jones, Chantal/Belvoir tandem again although they blanked yesterday I will try again, won debut going 5.5fl like a rocket in the stretch so the added distance should be fine
Race 4: Rosarita, off since June when she won on the Hill, sharp work this week
Race 5: Secret Agent Girl, on fire jockey, daddy 1st timers are winning 26%, mommy 3 for 3 with a stakes winner, trainer wins 22% debut – stats look great all around at 12-1
Race 7: Loud Stalker, scratched from yesterday’s card with Bejarano riding but Bejarano has the 9/5 fav here, I was going to use yesterday so using today at 10-1. Highlight Show in here is from Theriot and DP Racing who hit on a few longshots for us at Del Mar and is making his debut
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $27 with horses listed in preference
Races 1-5 selections and also for $54 Pick 5, exacta and trifecta boxes
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”