Santa Anita 10-02-2015

10-02-2015

 

It only paid $62 for the win but we notched our 1st score of the Fall meet at Santa Anita on our small $36 ticket!

 

The pick 4 begins in race 5 today, a race that is won by the favorite only 17% of the time and a horse priced over 5-1 coming home 60%! The 2nd favorite is #2 Dynamite Ride, a horse that loves to run second, doing so over the last 4 races. For my price horse I am going to land on #1 Saxon Lord who is moving up in class after a win up north earlier this month on turf slightly longer. #9 Global Magician is the favorite here with Garcia riding for Miller. These two have a positive ROI and 29% win rate.

 

Race 6 is a $8k claimers race. YIKES! Races like this anything can happen! Gonzalez tries his hand this time around on the favorite #2 American Blend who has come in 2nd 2 straight. Second time off the bench with a new jockey could be the difference maker. This is an all race or do the favorite. I don’t like anything else here so single it is in a $8k claimer, oh boy!

 

 

In race 7 Bejarano rides the favorite #1 Unusually Green. Dropping, rail post winning 37%, sharp work and hot jockey singling is not crazy! A late runner too at this long distance add to the appeal. #2 Nahem is a reclaim from Jerry and he also owns and it always pays to watch that. He is also winning 31% second off the claim. #5 Freddie’s Dream won last out at a mile and 1/8 and had a sharp workout last week. #7 Shake Things Up is seeking a third straight win.

 

 

The favorite in the last leg is #2 Ponder Lea who ran ok in a special maiden weight in her debut but drops today. She did put in a fast workout last week and the week before so she is a must use. Bejarano rides #1 Seaward Cottage who is also dropping after faded from early speed two weeks ago. This race is won by the favorite 42% of the time and a whopping 92% are priced under 5-1. However, if you want extra coverage in here there is a firster from Headley, the #8 Relaunch a Memory.

 

 

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $18 with horses listed in preference

2,1,9

2

1,2,5,7

1,2,8

 

Alternative ticket hitting all in the second leg costs $20

2,1

ALL

1

1,2

 

 

Pick 5 will cost $9

6

4

10,3,4

9,2

2,1,9

 

The Best Bet today looks to be in race #1 Papaslilprincess. Bejarano rides after a second place finish last out where she gained in the stretch going shorter so today’s distance should be perfect.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Good Luck today!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.