A pick 6 carryover awaits us today and after going through the races this looks to be a very tough day. Don’t be surprised to see some bombs come home!
The Pick 4 begins in race 5 today on the turf. The favorite today is #6 Big Discovery but there is no way I am singling this horse. The horse has 4 seconds and two thirds from 6 starts and look who is riding. #7 Broken Up for Mandella who is 3 of 7 2nd on grass should be the favorite from past form and I will use. This race is devoid of speed so #1 Boone Docks looks interesting and if he can get clear could hold on and a sharp work adds to the appeal. Not an easy start to the sequence today.
Bejarano rides the favorite in race 6, the #7 Bellamentary. Well bet in her debut finishing second she stretches out today. #8 Shakti ran second at this distance last out and the 3rd place horse won next out, always good to see. I am going to stick to just these two but if you want to use one of the Bafferts as well then #9 Escapee is the one I would land on. 9 of the 10 times this race has been run a horse under 5-1 has won, the only non bomb race in the sequence per the stats.
Race 7 brings us our first downhill race of this short meet! #2 No Comparison is rising in class after a win at 5 furlongs at Del Mar. This trainer is 2 for 2 second off a layoff and this jockey/trainer have a huge positive ROI. She also put in a sharp workout this week, similar to right before that last win. For a price in here #8 Little Emma races on turf for the 1st time but does like this distance. She won at 6 1/2 on dirt at Del Mar and ran second at the distance versus stronger last out. The favorite only wins this race 18% and 41% of the time its a horse over 5-1! #10 Glory has two sharp works in a row this month in preparation for this race. The outside post will put her in contention for the lead but last meet the downhill favored the horses from the clouds.
The last leg for 2 year olds racing 5 1/2. First off the #1 Voodoo Doll with Bug Girl riding is 2 for 4 for this trainer with a huge ROI. This trainer usually wins with bombs and won last out 11 days ago. #4 Dragon Flower has a first and two straight seconds from 3 and will be in the mix. Bejarano rides the favorite #7 Sharp Holiday and you cannot ignore anything he rides. If injured Prat was riding today #3 Public House would likely be a favorite after running away nicely tot he victory in her first race. This is not an easy end to the sequence.
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference
Alternative ticket heavy in the last race costs $10
Pick 5 will cost $27
The Best Bet today looks to be in race #4, the #1 Tulira Castle. A win and three seconds from 5 starts this year you always get your monies worth and really in the opening races it looks to be the best of a so-so bunch.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Good Luck today!