So close yet so far yesterday. I had 4 of 5 in the Pick 5 and 3 out of 4 in the Pick 4. Going into the final leg I had 3 horses with the odds on favorite from ice cold Hess paying $412 and my other horses paying $900. Alas we got no run for our money. Today’s sequence gives us a free spot in race 8 with Beholder. I also have some free exotics bet ideas at www.californiapick4.com
The first leg today is an $8k claiming race where anything can and does happen. We have some suspicious drops with a couple dropping after being claimed for higher in the last races. #9 Coolington is 2 for 3 with Talamo riding and we get a great 7/2 price. The favorite, #7 My Slew was claimed for $16k two back, ran protected last out running second but drops for his new connections to $8k today. Mistake claim and hoping for their money back? I still have to use but. #6 Frensham drops big for ice cold Hess and Desormeaux does not ride. I need to see Hess win a few before I use his horses so if he beats me he beats me. #5 Relentless Heat is always in the mix and may finally get the win so I will use him.
The favorite in race 7 is the #7 Labour who ran second here last month off an eight month rest. Prat rides. Bejarano rides #8 Brave Act who is 2 of 3. Bejarano and Prat have been dominating turf races this season. Although Brave is rising in class trainer Eddie Truman is 7 of 12 on the Hill this year. We get a very good price I think on #2 Incline Village who posted a fast workout last week and won last out.
Usually in a big race I will try to beat the favorite but not today. #4 Beholder is 9 of 10 at Santa Anita and looked great winning in April. Off sick for a month which may concern some she has been working well so all systems go. Now if you are looking for insurance in here Baltas and Bejarano hook up on #6 Wild in the Saddle. Back to dirt after running poorly on turf, at 8-1 if the top choice falters (unlikely) she makes for good insurance.
Back to the Hillside for the last race and #7 Big Move jumps out at me. A fast workout last week after finishing a close second on the Hill last out, she is the deserving favorite in here. The horse she lost to won next out. Not a crazy single even though we are on the Hillside. #2 Dixie Tweet shortens up today with Baze in the saddle.
Ok, so here is my thinking. I really like Beholder and I really like Big Move. I could single both and look for more coverage in the other legs so on one ticket lets try that angle.
My Pick 4 ticket starting in race #6 will cost $45
A straightforward ticket with insurance in both single legs above costs $18
My Best Bet scratched yesterday and based on the outcome O’Neill chose the wrong horse to scratch! Today I am looking at #7 Hugh Knew in the 3rd race on the Hill. His trainer has won 4 straight on the Hill and 7 of 12 since December. An exacta box with #1 Salsita who won big at this level on the Hill last time she raced it.
Using the pick 5 sequence above rolling Doubles using the selections above as well as rolling Pick 3’s in first 5 races.
Late Double Race #8
4 with 7