05-15-2015

It was a small pick 4 win yesterday but we had it twice and given the bad weather and the turf races moving I consider that a good day! It’s raining again today and the turf races may yet again be taken off so I am not going to spend a lot of money on this sequence.

The first leg looks like a match race between #5 Dress Code and #6 The Mad Hungarian. Dress Code is rising up in class after a big win but I have an affinity for #6. A fresh face today at an ok price is #1 Candy For Debbie. Talamo is riding for a horse who likes to win.

In race 6 #6 Persuasive Paul is a horse that if I don’t use wins. Bejarano is riding so I will use. 5-1 odds on a Bejarano horse is always worth a stab. I also like the # Los Bambinos who wired here April 3. This race is only won by the favorite 13% of the time with a horse 5-1 or more winning 43% of the time.

In race 7 I like the #1 Limited Response who had a sharp workout recently and is dropping in class for a trainer who wins 28% second off a claim. I will also use #5 Too Is Too Many with Baze riding and who is also dropping.

The last leg has an 8% favorite win stat! Only a 12 race sample but still! I will use the 2 possible favorites, the #1 Pammy Whammy and #6 Housemaker. This race has a 42% win rate for horses 5-1 or higher and Bejarano hops on #7 Shes’s Reddy at 6-1 meeting the odds criteria and hot jockey.

My first ticket will cost $18

1/5/6

1/6

1/5

1/6/7

Our Best Bet yesterday saw $129k bet on it to show and only $29k for the win and came in 4th. Need I say more!  A live longshot today at a price is in race 2, the #2 Jackeeattackee. She was well bet in her debut and gives 8-1 second out. My best bet today is in race 4, the #3 Kiss At Midnight. Bejarano and Baltas team up and both are red hot. I also like Golden gate invader Won’t Be Shaken with Prat on board. Sharp works too. Exacta box with both.