It’s Derby day and as for the big race my money is on Nyquist with an exacta with Exaggerator and if the prices are right I may do a side bet on Exaggerator too for the win. Today’s Pick 4 is a Guaranteed $500k that begins in Race 8 so lets get to work! I am going deep in two legs and hoping to get out of the 1st leg alive!
Race 8: Zim N the Mailman #7, off two straight second place finishers, looks to be the “best” in this field. He has beaten a few of these racers previously. It is tough to single a horse that comes so close every time but in the sequence today that is what I am doing. If you want some extra coverage you can add #6 Unusually Big who will be coming late in the lane. A tough start to the sequence!
Race 10: Baffert sends out two in this race, #4 Hot Item and #5 WestFest with Bejarano riding and I am going to let him beat me. There is little separating both these so if you pick one of them you have to use two. If you feel you need to use add them in but in my book this trainer has been absolutely ice-cold with favorites in So Cal. Instead I am going with a possible gate to wire horse in #9 Ketos. The oldest horse in the field is a bonus and he races on his preferred surface today. That last race on turf produced 3 next-out winners so it was a strong race. If you want to add in a new face #6 Giant Influence is a son of Giant’s Causeway.
Race 1: Enola Gray
Longshots of the Day:
Race 4: Can’t Afford It
Race 5: Thanksgiving Day
Race 11: Fruity
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $25 with horses listed in preference.
Races 1-6 sections and also for Pick 5, exacta and trifecta boxes
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”