It has been a tough slog at the meet thus far with really small pays on the Pick 4 but Pick 4’s that in order to hit you must spread and spend too much to hit. There are always periods like this. I manage periods like this by reducing bets sides and riding the storm out as we await the hot streak! This is an extremely tough card today but there are a number of potentially live longshots we will be hunting for!
Possible singles today:
In race 2 Will Tell bobbled at the start last out in a 5.5 fl race and then cleared in the stretch to win by 5, moves up in class with a sharp work for a 33% jockey/trainer tandem
In race 6 all eyes will be on Unique Bella and why not when you read “handily” in each of her 3 wins form. This race is not in any of the sequences today so I am going to also shoot for a price. Abel Tasman has won 3 in a row including a G1 last out and Talamo has been on fire. Spooky Woods for the trifecta as well.
In race 7 Stormy Liberal loves this course with a 3-4-0 from 9 starts on Da Hill. Lately though nice Hill racers have disappointed but Miller and Arroyo are 57% and 6-1 from the last 8 races! Hard to ignore those stats if you need a single in the late Pick 4. 59% of winners of this race are priced over 5-1 and 21% 10-1 or greater
XX denotes horses available by purchasing today’s card
Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these
Race 3: XX
Race 5: XX
Race 7: XX
Race 8: XX
Race 9: That’s a Lady, off the bench again and has only won once but check the best of 97 workout on Feb 23
Race 9: Rockport Babe, trainer does not send many out but is 25% across all categories for a positive ROI, won last time at this distance, was claimed in June from Ruis who still owns interesting at a nice price indeed!
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference.
Today’s Pick 5 will cost $18 with horses listed in preference.
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”