12-28-2018 Santa Anita Full Card

Well we ran pretty good on Opening Day except when it came to the Baffert singles that wiped out both our Pick 5 and Pick 4 tickets when the sure things ran like they were out for exercise. 4 of 5 in the Pick 5 with some nice prices on the small ticket and the same 3 of 4 on the Pick 4. We were right there for some handsome pays so I will take that as a very good sign. When you single a Baffert “sure thing” this is to be expected – they either run the other horses off their feet or run last!  Today beings five days of racing for us so let’s get to work! The Pick 4 today ends with a wide open $8k claimer. The Pick 5 the tough race is race 2 where its all or the favorite.

Pick 4 I need a single is race 7 Aristocratic dropping in class for Miller who is 16%. Miller is 28% beaten favorite and this trainer knows where to place these droppers. Otherwise its a wide open race so this is the single. If race 8 sees Flying Scotsman not scratch he is the single along with the longshot

Pick 5 I need a single is race 3 Don’t Stalk Me who picks up Rosario. Dropping in class for Hess who is 26% doing this. Has top speed and is 3 for 3 at the distance

Longshots of the Day:

Race 8: Swamp Souffle picks up Maldonado who is 40% for this trainer and the strategy will be simply, break the gate and go fast to the wire! Won last race and is 2 of the last 3 and trainer is 25% second time grass. Prat rode last and chose the favorite who is expected to scratch so we are getting a nice 12-1 price that we would not see if Prat was aboard.

Today’s Race 6 Late Pick 4 will cost $36 depending on singles with horses listed in preference.

3,1,8

3,7 (2,4)

3,4,6,8 (4 is expected to scratch and if he does the ticket is $27)

1,7,10

Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $18 with singles with horses listed in preference

1,4,9,2

2 (4)

5 (4)

11,6,3

10,3,6

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”