Well we ran pretty good on Opening Day except when it came to the Baffert singles that wiped out both our Pick 5 and Pick 4 tickets when the sure things ran like they were out for exercise. 4 of 5 in the Pick 5 with some nice prices on the small ticket and the same 3 of 4 on the Pick 4. We were right there for some handsome pays so I will take that as a very good sign. When you single a Baffert “sure thing” this is to be expected – they either run the other horses off their feet or run last! Today beings five days of racing for us so let’s get to work! The Pick 4 today ends with a wide open $8k claimer. The Pick 5 the tough race is race 2 where its all or the favorite.
Pick 4 I need a single is race 7 Aristocratic dropping in class for Miller who is 16%. Miller is 28% beaten favorite and this trainer knows where to place these droppers. Otherwise its a wide open race so this is the single. If race 8 sees Flying Scotsman not scratch he is the single along with the longshot
Pick 5 I need a single is race 3 Don’t Stalk Me who picks up Rosario. Dropping in class for Hess who is 26% doing this. Has top speed and is 3 for 3 at the distance
Longshots of the Day:
Race 8: Swamp Souffle picks up Maldonado who is 40% for this trainer and the strategy will be simply, break the gate and go fast to the wire! Won last race and is 2 of the last 3 and trainer is 25% second time grass. Prat rode last and chose the favorite who is expected to scratch so we are getting a nice 12-1 price that we would not see if Prat was aboard.
Today’s Race 6 Late Pick 4 will cost $36 depending on singles with horses listed in preference.
3,4,6,8 (4 is expected to scratch and if he does the ticket is $27)
Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $18 with singles with horses listed in preference
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”