11-10-2019 Del Mar Full Card

Tough day yesterday as we ran 4 of 5 in the Pick 5 and then ran 3 of 4 in the Pick 4 with our horses coming in second in the races that knocked us out! Still, we were right there and that sets us up for today’s 9 race card that begins at 12:30. 

If you are at Del Mar today come on by the Newcomers Seminar 1 hour before the first post and say hello!

Pick 5 I need a single is in race 5 Miss Hot Legs from trainer Callaghan who is having a big year with his small stable winning 24%. He is winning 25% in sprint races like this race. Ran 2nd last out under Cedillo after hopping at the start and running on late going longer. If she breaks cleanly she goes gate to wire for the win.

Pick 4 I need a single is in race 8 Leucothea should dominate this race. Won by 8 easy lengths last out for Miller with Cedillo riding and they are 31%. Top speed, sharp works it is as easy a single as we will see. 

Value Plays of the Day:

Race 6: Prayer Warrior has won 3 of 4 at this distance. Had won 2 in a row on dirt before running 3rd on turf last out so back to dirt they go. Top last race speed 6-1 is great value. Occam’s Razor is an O’Neill horse making the 1st start off a 9 month break. Won the debut race at 4 half furlongs in June 2018 at ½ odds, hit the bench for 8 months and ran a mile then hit the bench again. O’ Neill is on fire this year and Mario is 21% for him and when we don’t use he wins! We get a sharp workout and the cutback to this distance looks ideal. If the horse is ready the value at 6-1 is nice. Best betting race on the card.

Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 7,5,6

Race 2: 3,2 (4)*

Race 3: 6,2,3,7

Race 4: 5,4,7

Race 5: 7 (5,3,4)*

Today’s Race 6 Late Pick 4 will cost $18 with horses listed in preference.

Race 6: 3,5,8,1

Race 7: 3,1,4

Race 8: 4 (1,3)*

Race 9: 3,8,11

Selections for each race with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 7,5,6

Race 2: 3,2 (4)*

Race 3: 6,2,3,7

Race 4: 5,4,7

Race 5: 7 (5,3,4)*

Race 6: 3,1,8

Race 7: 3,1,4

Race 8: 4 (1,3)*

Race 9: 3,8,11

Typos happen and I do my best not to make them. Always read through my writeups to make sure the posted numbers are correct. I list Pick 4, Pick 5 selections and also a listing of all plays for each race. If there are any differences, please let me know.

*Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections. 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

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