11-08-2019 Del Mar Opening Day

We are back at Del Mar for the next month for one of my favorite meets, the Fall meet. If you have never been to Del Mar the Fall meet is a much more laid back meet I recommend visiting. And if you do come on Sunday say hello at the Newcomers Seminar I host inside the main gate one hour before the 1st race. 

This is a tough card but there are a number of value plays I like a lot today. Only 8 races means an overlap in the Pick 4 and Pick 5. I like my value plays and will be keying them in some trifectas looking for handsome pays.

I have a Del Mar Fall Meet special into opening day, on $85, a 30% discount that expires today.

Pick 5 I need a single is in race 3 Ernie Banks – see below

Pick 4 I need a single is in race  – none

Value Plays of the Day:

Race 1: Very Irish was a play for us during the summer and the horse did nada. And yes I like the name being Irish! However, what I see here are some sharp workouts , a 57 second work on October 10th and a sharp work last week. The horse races protected today so these workouts mean more to me. This is a small stable who is 29% on the year and 40% in sprints and also owns the horse. Also, Very Irish was breed by George Krikorian who was the #4 purse winner at the Summer meet and was winning 23% and 69% in the money. It’s the 1st race at Del Mar, lets swing! This race is won by horses over 10-1 a large 22%. We are getting a great 15-1 value today.

Race 2: Big Runner was a value play for us in the debut from a small stable owned and trained by the same family. Racing protected today the trainer is 33% (2 of 6) 2nd time grass.

Race 3: Ernie Banks ships down from up North from trainer Wong who is 34% claim repeater, 22% shipping, 30% winner last race and 25% on the year. Jockey Antongeorgie who won the last two on this horse flies down for this only race. Early speed, outside post I am singling a 5-1 horse in my Pick 5.

Race 5: Tiz a Slayer ran 2nd here at Del Mar in August in a $20k claimer and then hit the bench before returning Oct 26th to win in another $20k claimer. Today they race the horse protected in this starter allowance and try first time turf. Moves up in class, 1st time turf with no turf blood the 20-1 or more price is logical. It is Del Mar though and these are the kinds of horses that win.

Race 6: Twirling Diamond is from trainer Dallas Keen who is 33% sprint-route-sprint and 33% sprint-route. 3rd start off the layoff the horse again races protected and we get two bullet workouts for this race. They sent horse a mile on turf last out in what looks to have been a prep race for here. 12-1 is fantastic value. The horse has speed.

Race 7: Curlins Journey is my 20-1 closer play here. Funetes took over the riding last out and a masterful late bid gave the win. Has as much speed as the top choices in here and there is going to be a fast early pace setting the race up for a closer. The race replay is impressive. MUST USE!

Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $48 with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 3,1,6

Race 2: 6,3,1,5

Race 3: 9 (3,6)*

Race 4: 5,6

Race 5: 8,1,6,3

Today’s Race 5 Late Pick 4 will cost $45 with horses listed in preference.

Race 5: 8,1,6

Race 6: 1,2,6

Race 7: 4,7,3,9,8

Race 8: 3,1

Selections for each race with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 3,1,6

Race 2: 6,3,1,5

Race 3: 9 (3,6)*

Race 4: 5,6

Race 5: 8,1,6,3

Race 6: 1,2,6

Race 7: 4,7,3,9

Race 8: 3,1

Typos happen and I do my best not to make them. Always read through my writeups to make sure the posted numbers are correct. I list Pick 4, Pick 5 selections and also a listing of all plays for each race. If there are any differences, please let me know.

*Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections. 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

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