10-20-2019 Santa Anita Full Card

4 of 5 in the Pick 5 yesterday when our odds on favorite ran second in race 2. We made up for it winning the late Pick 4 with our small bet paying us $219. There are 8 races again today with a very nice daily double in the early races. I also have a couple of nice value plays for a card that looks like it will be chalky.

Pick 5 I need a single is in race 2 Bodhicitta who made a 4 wide blistering fast late move to lose by a half length last out under Prat. He won’t miss today. Baltas is 29% beaten favorite. That race has seen two horses who finished behind ‘Bod return to win.  In race 3 Camby is dropping in class for trainer Glatt who has won with 4 of the last 5 class droppers that were favorites. Talamo rides and he is 28% for Glatt. A great double.

Pick 4 I need a single is in race – none

Longshots of the Day:

Race 1: Reds Sacred Appeal won October 10th for this small stable that also owns the horse. Rising in class today 8-1 is attractive in this small field 2nd start off the layoff. This is the kind of value play that many punters miss. These are the types of horses and situations these small stables survive on. The horse has a win, two thirds and a second from the last 4 races.

Race 4: Friendly Outthedor picks up Cedillo and that could be the difference maker as the only real closer in a race full of early speed. 1st start since July the horse races protected today. The race profile just suits up perfectly for this 8-1 value play.

Race 5: Zimba Warrior moves in up class off a win at Fresno Oct 6 and in this race loaded with early speed is the best closer. 12-1 is excellent value. Trainer Desormeuax is heating up here at Santa Anita and is 21%. His best racing category is non graded stakes races like this race with a 17% win rate and a positive ROI. The last race, while it was at Fresno, it was visually impressive. The extra distance should be fine.

Race 7: Mutineer is an O’Neill Garcia horse. OK reason enough! O’Neill is 30% right now and when Garcia rides 35%. Rises in class off a win last out and races protected today

Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $18 with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 5,1,3

Race 2: 2 (1)*

Race 3: 3

Race 4: 3,7,1,2

Race 5: 3,2,5

Today’s Race 5 Late Pick 4 will cost $36 singling with horses listed in preference.

Race 5: 3,2,5

Race 6: 3,4,7,5

Race 7: 7,5,3

Race 8: 3,4

Selections for each race with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 5,1,3

Race 2: 2 (1)*

Race 3: 3

Race 4: 3,7,1,2

Race 5: 3,2,5

Race 6: 3,4,7,5

Race 7: 7,5,3

Race 8: 3,4

Typos happen and I do my best not to make them. Always read through my writeups to make sure the posted numbers are correct. I list Pick 4, Pick 5 selections and also a listing of all plays for each race. If there are any differences, please let me know.

*Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections. 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

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