09-29-2018 Santa Anita Full Card

A noon start and 12 races including 4 graded races await us today. The Late Pick 4 looks like it could be an extremely low payout if all the top choices win so keep that in mind when building your tickets today.The sequence also ends with a Hillside race. I am focusing more ammo on the Pick 5 and will be looking at rolling doubles more in the late races.I also have a 20c Jackpot Pick 6 ticket for today.

 

 

Pick 4 I need a single is race 10 Vasilika who has won 6 in a row and now steps up to a G1 race. This horse should be flying late for the win today.

 

Pick 5 I need a single is in race 1 Improbable from Baffert with Van Dyke riding and they are winning 43%. Baffert is 12-17 with debut 2 year olds this year. Works are off the page good. There is “another” Baffert debuter in here with Talamo riding and Talamo did defeat a well regarded Baffert debuter at Del Mar.

 

 

Longshots of the Day:

Race 4: Dyf, Rosario is 2 for 2 for Baltas, a trainer 26% 1st off the claim and we get 12-1. Horse was well bet in that debut for an ice cold trainer so today we get a jockey and trainer upgrade and we get 12-1 or more. Baltas is not going to waste a call to Rosario so assume the horse is live at a price. This is the race that will cause chaos in the Pick 5 today. Power Play is a Baffert debuter who worked with race 1 favorite Improbable. He is 22% debuting on turf a rare thing for this trainer but this horse has turf up and down its bloodlines. 8-1 morning line a must use as well!

Race 8: Kindred, moves up in class off a win for a trainer 27% on this move. Adds a little distance today but she closed late and seems to be getting faster and faster in each start. 10-1 or more

Race 10: Tisbutadream, we used 1st off the bench and 1st US start at Del Mar for naught. 2nd start, blinkers on this Irish invader will be a massive price today and will try to wire the field. Vasilika is a single in this race but without any prices this pick 4 sequence will be small so adding this horse in. A must use in all exotic bets as well

 

Today’s Race 9 Late Pick 4 will cost $24 with horses listed in preference.

6,1,5

6,2 (8)

6,5

9,5,10,11

 

A favorites winning Race 9 Late Pick 4 using all in the final race will cost $7

6

6

6

All

 

Today’s Early Pick 5 will cost $60 with singles with horses listed in preference

2,1,3 (singling the Baffert #2 makes it $20)

7,3

8,2

11,8,9,6,5

6,2

 

Race 6-8:

4 (1,2)

4,3,7,9

6,3,4 (9)

 

 

Today’s 20c Jackpot Pick 6 will cost $28.80 with singles with horses listed in preference

4,3,7,9

6,3,4 (9)

6,1 (5)

6,2 (8)

6 (5)

9,5,11 (10)

 

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”