09-28-2019 Santa Anita Full Card

We have eleven races today and a 12:30 first post. There are 4 stakes races including two Grade 1’s. We also have a $500k Guaranteed Late Pick 4 today so I am again spending a little more on the ticket at $60.

Pick 5 I need a single is in race 4 Donna Velosi with Prat riding for Callaghan in the debut of this $800k horse. When Prat rides these horses for this trainer they are live and they win 29%. Sharp works. 

Pick 4 I need a single is in race  – none today for me as I am value hunting but if there was a single its McKenzie in race 10. I am using in my pick 4 but I am also trying to beat

Longshots of the Day:

Race 1: Curry looks very interesting here at a 10-1 morning line. Ran nowhere in the debut in March then hit the bench. Regular bullet workouts in July and August at Del Mar then what appear to be maintenance stay off the radar works in September. The top choices in this race are blah and this horse looks VERY sneaky at a price.

Race 5: Show Business is the other Richard Mandella horse and Jorge Velez rides (Flavian Prat rides the other a first timer). This trainer wins 39% 2nd time routing like today and this is a Godolpin horse, a powerhouse ownership group you pay attention to out here. We have a couple of very sharp workouts since that debut race September 1. 15-1 is a great value price. 

Race 10: Mongolian Groom almost completed a monster exacta in the Pacific Classic getting bobbed on the line for 2nd. He then ran in the G1 Woodward but was cut off deep stretch in the mud at a big price.The two week turnaround from the Pacific Classic as well as the travel to the East Coast and no workouts may have sapped the horse a little. That race was August 31st. We have two workouts since including a sharp work last week. This is a MUST USE horse in all exotic bets and for those playing the Santa Anita contest this is a great play. I prefer Higher Power over McKinzie in the race but will use all three in my bets.

Race 11: Miss Hot Legs is owned by Qatar Racing with Callaghan training, their only horse today. When they race they have won for us at prices especially in the later races.. The horse is 1-3-1 from 5 races at 5 furlongs. Today they add an extra half furlong. The last two races the horse has dueled on the lead and both times was caught on the line. There is a lot of early speed again today so hopefully Espinoza can save some for later in the race. This is a spread race to end the card. Watch Me Burn is a 30-1 Val Brinkerhoff longshot, he wins 27% in these types of races and when you don’t use him you tend to regret it! Fantasy Heat has won 2 in a row for Glatt/Talamo who are 48% winning 10 of 21 races.

Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 6.4,3

Race 2: 5,2,6

Race 3: 8,7

Race 4: 5 (3,4)

Race 5: 11,2,7,4

Today’s Race 6 Late Pick 4 will cost $60 singling with horses listed in preference.

Race 8: 7,1,4,3

Race 9: 2,4

Race 10: 1,4,5

Race 11: 11,7,1,5,9

Selections for each race with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 4,3

Race 2: 5,2,6

Race 3: 8,7

Race 4: 5 (3,4)

Race 5: 11,2,7,4

Race 6: 5 (1,7)*

Race 7: 3,5,8

Race 8: 7,1,4,3

Race 9: 2,4

Race 10: 1,4,5

Race 11: 11,7,1,5,9

Typos happen and I do my best not to make them. Always read through my writeups to make sure the posted numbers are correct. I list Pick 4, Pick 5 selections and also a listing of all plays for each race. If there are any differences, please let me know.

*Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections. 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

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