08-31-2019 Del Mar Full Card

UPDATE:

In race Stellar Sound #8 is racing. Somehow I overlooked my stable notes on the horse. Baffert likes this horse A LOT. He saddled the horse himself at the debut early before any crowds were there. The same owner had a $1.4m horse in the race and that owner paid ZERO attention to his other horse, focusing on this one. The horse had a bad start going 7 wide and cruised and galloped nicely out after the win. Mike Smith rides today because they think highly of this horse. We are getting 6-1 and MUST use. Pick 4 costs $67.50 now

We have 10 races today including some Graded Stakes races. Our singles continue to do us in, especially ones with Prat of all people lately! Still in such wide open races I have to pick my spots and today is no different! Baltas is 2 wins behind O’Neill in the trainers race with Miller one more back. Watch all mounts they trainers have into Monday. The late Pick 4 looks nice today!

UNION TRIBUNE VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY:

Fourth Race No.5 The White Shadow (6-1)

The White Shadow is from trainer Andrew Lerner who is winning 66% 2nd start off the claim and 29% overall on the year.. The horse bobbled at the start last out in an allowance race as one of my longshots and had no chance. That was the first start since December. I view Lerner protecting the horse in an allowance race as a good sign despite the poor outcome. Lerner now drops into this claimer and puts Abel Cedillo on board. Abel won on this horse at Golden Gate in the debut last year. This trainer has won with 6 of 10 horses this year 2nd start off the layoff and those winners have been big prices like today.

Pick 5 I need a single is race 3 Velvet Queen who has blistering early speed and using that speed has faded going a mile in the last two races. Prat jumps on today for leading trainer Baltas (they are winning 36%) and they cut the horse back to a 5 furlong sprint. A sharp work adds to the appeal today. The 9/2 price seems great value! In race 1 Restless  Rambler ships in from back East for Glatt for the bonus money but jumps up in class. Last weekend of the meet they risk for the claim but want to get paid when they win the bonus money! We see four blistering workouts in a row for this debut here and is likely why they jumped the horse up in class. 5 furlongs in 58 seconds, 3 furlongs in 35, 4 furlongs in 47 I would say the horse loves the beach. The quandary here is singling the 1st leg can be tough! Also looking at the horse info Prat was scheduled to ride this horse last Sunday and last Friday 5 furlongs on the turf but the horse was unable to draw in plus the horse prefers dirt. 

Pick 4 I need a single is race  – none today I am value hunting

Longshots of the Day:

Race 2: Truck Salesman is the “other” O’Neill making the second start off the layoff. Jockey Evin Roman rides and he is 1 for 3 for the trainer hitting on a longshot at the meet. Highest last race speed and they race the horse protected today even with the trainers title race. I debated singling this horse as its either anyone’s race or I take a shot on my longshot.

Race 7: Ahimsa is 8-1 morning line because Vasilika is racing today. What value!!!! Has won 2 of the last 3 with the loss being a 3rd toVasilika who came late to win. Ahimsa took an early lead in that race going 2 lengths ahead and wanted to go fast and fought the jockey. Last out Blanc kept the horse at the front but close enough and then let her loose in the stretch. We want this horse in front but not more than a half length into the stretch. If this scenario plays out big price win.

Race 8: Honor Among Men is a Qatar Racing/Callaghan debut runner. We won with a price on this tandem Pacific Classic day in the last race. They don’t send out many horses here but when they do you bet them. Cost $435k and we are getting 8-1 or more.

Race 9: Powerful Attraction was off slow in the debut and closed nicely in the stretch to finish second. There was a lot of early speed in the race including the runaway winner and there will again be a fast early pace today. If Talamo can keep the horse a little closer we have a big price chance. Trainer Peter Euton is 29% second time Lasix and 86% in the money. 

Race 10: Cool Your Jets  makes the 1st start for trainer Ruis Shelby since January and this trainer owns the horse and races it protected here on the last Saturday of the meet. ‘Jets has been training all meet and makes the start today. Shelby wins 20% off extended breaks and from three starts at Del Mar has run second twice.

Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $24 singling with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 4 (2,5)

Race 2: 6,8,10,11

Race 3: 6 (7,1,3,4)

Race 4: 4,5,8

Race 5: 7,1,3,8

Today’s Race 7 Late Pick 4 will cost $54 singling with horses listed in preference.

Race 7: 1,5,7

Race 8: 3,4,6

Race 9: 4,7,5,6

Race 10: 10,11,2

Selections for each race with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 4 (2,5)

Race 2: 6,8,10,11

Race 3: 6 (7,1,3,4)

Race 4: 4,5,8

Race 5: 7,1,3,8

Race 6: 11,9,6

Race 7: 1,5,7

Race 8: 3,4,6

Race 9: 4,7,5,6

Race 10: 10,11,2

Typos happen and I do my best not to make them. Always read through my writeups to make sure the posted numbers are correct. I list Pick 4, Pick 5 selections and also a listing of all plays for each race. If there are any differences, please let me know.

*Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections. 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

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