08-30-2018 Del Mar Full Card

Four straight winners was not enough as a 6-1 morning line won the 5th race knocking us out of the Pick 5 and the Pick 4. That’s the risk on singling the leg that crosses over both sequences when playing the small bet strategy. If the favorite did not win it was anyone’s race and I would not have probably included the winner anyway. Early speed was dominating yesterday with the frontrunners never getting caught. Early speed is king right now.

 

 

Caveman betting strategy: $2 win/place on every Van Dyke and Prat horse today. That simple strategy will cost you $40 with their 10 mounts. Yesterday result returned $38.40.

 

Pick 4 I need a single is race  – none I am longshot shopping in a tough Pick 4 sequence

 

Pick 5 I need a single is in race 4 Air Strike with Prat riding looking for the ship n win bonus money for trainer D’Amato. Prat is 40% for the trainer. In race 5 Marjorie looks like another single candidate with Prat riding for Gallagher and they are 2 of 3 and we get a sharp workout for a horse who has won two in a row for this jockey and looks to win #2 at the beach. I have a longshot in this race I really like though!

 

 

Longshots of the Day:

Race 5: Charmingslew sees Steven’s tie up with Neil French and they are 1 for 2, French is 29% in maiden allowances and moves up in class off a win last out under the same jockey. Steven’s rode the 2nd fav last out and sticks here at 20-1? Favorites only win 16% of the time and horses over 4-1 win 53%

Race 6: Nova, bobbled at the start last out then flew early to hit the lead before fading to 4th losing by a 1/2 length. Has speed and a clean takeoff could give us a giant price in the Pick 4

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 beginning in race 5 will cost $24 with horses listed in preference.

4,10 (2)

4,2,3,8

5,2,6

4,5

 

Today’s Early Pick 5 beginning in race 1 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference

5,10,6 (7 use if 10 does not get in off the AE)

7,1,4

4,7,11,1

8 (1,3,4)

4,10 (2)

 

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”