08-10-2023 Del Mar Full Card

Finally a win in the Pick 4. Alas, the $80 bet returned $69! Such is racing. The crazy priced horses continue to hit at random spots at Del Mar so there is much to be enthused about. It is just a matter of connecting. We begin the racing week with 8 races today and this again is a tough card.

My longshot/value plays are horses I believe will out run their longshot odds and even potentially win at nice prices. This can be very useful for those doing exotic bets such as trifectas, exactas and Pick 4/5/6’s.

Longshot/Value Plays of the Day:

Race 2: Fact or Fiction – 2 year old maidens race one hopes to get out of! What separates this 30-1 horse from the two favorites? Nada. I actually expect the odds here to be MUCH lower.

Race 3: Beachgrass – the inside post at this distance on dirt has actually been the place to be winning 21%. Price is right and moving up in class versus others.

Race 6: Marks Hip – Rispoli rides for Knapp (27% win rate and they win on prices). 46 second work. Cuts back from a diet of Hillside races with the top early speed. Gate to wire at hopefully this 12-1 morning line! This is a tempting line in the sand single maybe for me.

Today’s Race 1 50 cent Early Pick 5 will cost $108 with horses listed in preference

Race 1:  4,2,3,6 (2 potential single)

Race 2:  2,5,6

Race 3:  10,1,3

Race 4:  8,3,9 (toss the 9 if 11 draws in off the AE)

Race 5:  5,2

Today’s Race 5 $0.50 Late Pick 4 will cost $20 with horses listed in preference

Race 5:  5,2

Race 6:  3,5

Race 7:  1,3

Race 8:  8,6,7,1,2

Selections for each race with horses listed in preference 

Race 1:  4,2,3,6 (2 potential single)

Race 2:  2,5,6

Race 3:  10,1,3

Race 4:  8,3,9 (toss the 9 if 11 draws in off the AE)

Race 5:  5,2

Race 6:  3,5

Race 7:  1,3

Race 8:  8,6,7,1,2

Typos happen and I do my best not to make them. Always read through my writeups to make sure the posted numbers are correct. I list Pick 4, Pick 5 selections and also a listing of all plays for each race. If there are any differences, please let me know.

*Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outsider for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections. 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

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