Race 1: Use 5 on scratch of 6
Race 5: Use 9 Creme de La on scratch of 5- Calumet Farms horse
Yup, it was another day of 3 of 4 in the Pick 4. We are so dang close every day! Yesterday instead of getting beat on the line our longshot Run Like Rhett surged too late to get up for the win. A few more feet and we would have had it! The Miller barn has gone so cold after a phenomenal run in recent months. You can’t not use his horses but his horses have blown up a number of our Pick4 and Pick 5’s so far at the meet. Hollendorfer’s So. Cal cold streak is also one to note and this goes back to last year! Hot owners right now are Calumet Farms with a 57% win rate and 86% in the money. The Pick 5 today has an $8k claimer in race 2 and those can be very tough races to get out of.
Today’s Full Card is only $8
Race 3 I’malreadythere is looking for the 3rd win in a row for Prat, off the bench since the last win in April, regular works since that race. Rails at 12 feet suits his style as well
Pick 4 I need a single – I could not single in on one in this sequence today
Longshots of the Day:
Race 1: C C Rocks, Yakteen is 27% dropping into maiden claiming and 20% 1st time claiming and I like the name and at Del Mar that “handicapping” angle wins!
Race 5: Out Ofthe Ordinary, Koriner/Theriot/E-racing won both starts for us last summer on this horse with the last at a big price like today’s. Off since October you know they were prepping for this race, races protected here as well today always a good sign off extended breaks at a horses favorite track! We also have a 1st time Euro horse in this race Nicarra
Race 7: Xten, not risking Smith blowing up another Pick 4 ticket, he tends to lose on favorites and win on longshots at Del Mar, 8-1 for this debuter with a sharp work, is Smith riding here cause he had a mount in the last race or does he know something?
Race 8: Frenzied, this appears on paper to be a two horse race but this horse is 1-1 from 3 starts here, Gonzalez is winning 22% and can win in bunches. Off since February we have seen a lot of chaos in these graded races so far in the meet. Oh did I mention this is a Dp Racing horse – they do very well at Del Mar every year especially on longshots
Race 10: Captain Walker, winless trainer who has had only 22 races in 2017 attracts Prat, 2nd start off the layoff at 12-1 I am playing the Prat knows something angle. I am thinking this is another of our longshots that gets bet down to a much lower price by post time.
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $40.50 with horses listed in preference.
Race 6 Picks:
Today’s Pick 5 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”