08-01-2019 Del Mar Full Card Thursday

Trainer Doug O’Neill tied his Del Mar record yesterday with 5 winners. He races two today including our longshot play in Race 2. We have 7 races again today.

If you are going to Del Mar this summer be sure to stop by and say Hi. I will be hosting the Newcomers Seminar every Friday and Sunday inside the main gate.

UNION TRIBUNE VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY:

Second race. No. 3, South Boot Shirley (12-1)

South Boot Shirley is the “other” O’Neill horse. First start since back to back wins in December under Prat on dirt they move to turf today. The horse is risked for a claim and we have to think they placed for the win. Racing is not like it was in the old days, when trainers and owners were patient with layoff horses. It’s expensive to sit on horses so when they race off layoffs, and especially when they are risked for a claim, you better believe they have expectations to get paid the win money. When the trainer also races a favorite in the same race it interests me even more! If Prat rode today we would not be getting this very nice 12-1 price. 

Pick 4/5 I need a single is race 5 Time for Suzzie from red hot Hess who is winning 31% at Del Mar and with Bejarano is 2 of 3 recently. Drops multiple classes for the purse money

Longshots of the Day:

Race 1: Satori won last out in June off a year break at this distance under this jockey at 19-1 and hit the bench. The lightly raced horse clearly prefers dirt with both victories on the surface and this 8-1 price is great if the horse is ready to race again. Both wins came off layoffs as well, something trainer Marty Jones excels at with his 20% win rate and 41% in the money rate.

Race 2: South Boot Shirley, is the “other” O’Neill horse. First start since back to back wins in December under Prat on dirt they move to turf today. The horse is risked for a claim today and we have to think they placed for the win. Racing is not like it was in the old days when trainers and owners were patient with layoff horses. It’s expensive to sit on horses so when they race off breaks, and especially when they are risked for a claim, you better believe they have expectations to get paid the win money. When the trainer also races a favorite in the same race it interests me even more! If Prat rode today we would not be getting this very nice 12-1 price. 

Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 5,7,2,4

Race 2: 4,2,3 (6)*

Race 3: 4,3,6

Race 4: 7,3

Race 5: 8 (2)*

Today’s Race 4 Late Pick 4 will cost $12 or $6 singling race 5 with horses listed in preference.

Race 4: 7,3

Race 5: 8,2

Race 6: 4,6

Race 7: 7,9,6

Selections for each race with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 5,7,2,4

Race 2: 4,2,3 (6)*

Race 3: 4,3,6

Race 4: 7,3

Race 5: 8 (2)*

Race 6: 4,6

Race 7: 7,9,6

*Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections. 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

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