We have 7 races today with an overlap in both the Pick 4 and Pick 5. Both picks depend on a single in race 5, always a tough situation as if that single does not win you get knocked out of both plays.
If you are going to Del Mar this summer be sure to stop by and say Hi. I will be hosting the Newcomers Seminar every Friday and Sunday inside the main gate.
UNION TRIBUNE VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY:
First race. No. 1. Declarationofpeace (3-1)
Declarationofpeace last raced in France in October 2018 and today has French Jockey Flavian Prat riding for trainer John Sadler. The horse ran and won at Del Mar in the Breeders Cup in November of 2017 at this distance. Off for a year the French jockey/horse angle is not as crazy as it sounds. Prat has won 10 of 26 races and is 1st through 3rd 65% after the 1st week! The inside post is winning 37% at this distance right now. The horse drops in class for today’s race and also put in a sharp work over the grass here last week. Declarationofpeace who cost $2.6m has raced at the top racetracks in Europe and is seeing major, major class relief today. Sadler adds blinkers looking for more early speed and a gate-to-wire strategy. With Eddie Haskel racing in here we could get better than the 3-1 morning line.
Pick 4/5 I need a single is race 5 Raymundos Secret with Prat riding for Baltas and they are winning 29%. Sharp workout last week. 1st start since a debut win in January in Tampa. Racing protected today and adding lasix for the 1st time for that turbo-boost.
Longshots of the Day:
Race 3: Anniversary Sale, 1st start in a year for trainer Wong who is 29% dropping into maiden claimers. Jockey wins 26% for this trainer and we are getting 8-1.
Race 6: Zestful takes a huge jump in class for trainer Mark Glatt off four straight wins, including one at this distance at Golden Gate in May. Glatt is 23% 1st off the claim like today and with this jockey they are two for two. This versatile horse has won on turf, dirt and the all-weather track during the current win streak. That is versatility and we are getting a big 10-1 price today for a horse with as much speed as late pace as the lower odd horses in this race.
Today’s Race 4 Late Pick 4 will cost $13.50 with horses listed in preference.
Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $27 singling with horses listed in preference
Selections for each race with horses listed in preference
Race 1: 4,1
Race 2: 7,5,8 (3)*
Race 3: 1,2,5 (4)*
Race 4: 5,3,1
Race 5: 4 (2,5)*
Race 6: 7,2,3
Race 7: 1,2,5
*Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”