07-16-2021 Del Mar Opening Day

Welcome back to Del Mar. We have 10 great races to start off the meet and a 2pm post time. Let’s jump in and find those value winners! This card has value screaming all over it and value usually means big payoffs!

My Del Mar Season Pass is on sale today for 30% off

Value Play of the Day:

Race 5: Buy American had some trouble last out in May that’s not reflected on the trip notes but seen in the replays. She came late under Jessia to miss by less than 2 lengths and passed the winner on the gallop up, a value betting angle I like to employ. The added distance of a mile looks ideal as does the 10-1 price. This race has a 44% win rate for horses priced 5-1 or more.

Value Plays for Today:.

Race 2: Axel Steel trainer stats are off the page shipping in for the bonus money. Could be a single if needed in the pick 5

Race 3: Blue Diva makes the 3rd start off the layoff for a trainer winning 21% on this. Back to turf where 2 back this horse closed late with a huge closing kick to just miss. Dropping in class today this trainer also wins 29% going turf to dirt. A bullet work and the 12-1 morning line price looks juicy to me!

Race 4: Gianna’s Wild Cat -Horses over 5-1 have won 38%. Pyfer gets the mount for the 2nd career race. Giannia flashed early speed until fading mid stretch last out. If anyone can coax a gate to wire win from this horse Jessica can. She won for this trainer already and we have a sharp workout. A nice backup to the Prat favorite.

Race 6: Energizer – 5-1 is value for a horse shipping in for bonus money and risked for a claim. 3 bullet works for O’Neill who is winning 26% 1st off the claim. Eustace is another I really like here at 15-1. 0-2-1 from 4 starts at Del Mar, the victory could be today..

Race 7: Finally Here put in a best of the day 47 second workout last week and races protected today. In fact since the debut win there have been nothing but sharp workouts. Maldonado is 2 of 4 on big price horses for this trainer. 15-1 OH MY!

Race 8: Box of Chocolates – Trainer Sadler rarely drops horses off wins. He has done it twice and is 2 of 2. He drops off the win last out but races protected today. Two bullet works since the victory at 8-1 in a tough race I like. Prat was the win rider last out but is riding the baffert horse that is very beatable.

Race 9: Harbored Memories has won 2 in a row, has a sharp work and with as much speed, class and closing ability as the top choices at 8-1 is remarkable value if I can get it!

Today’s Race 1 50 cent Early Pick 5 will cost $108 with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 2,5,7

Race 2: 10,4,1,7

Race 3: 5,8,3 (2)*

Race 4: 1,6

Race 5: 6,1,8

Today’s Race 7 $0.50 Late Pick 4 will cost $80 with horses listed in preference

Race 7: 10,1,2,7

Race 8: 3,5,1,4,8

Race 9: 13,1,3,6

Race 10: 7,8

Selections for each race with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 2,5,7

Race 2: 10,4,1,7

Race 3: 5,8,3 (2)*

Race 4: 1,6

Race 5: 6,1,8

Race 6: 12,10,7

Race 7: 10,1,2,7

Race 8: 3,5,1,4,8

Race 9: 13,1,3,6

Race 10: 7,8

Typos happen and I do my best not to make them. Always read through my writeups to make sure the posted numbers are correct. I list Pick 4, Pick 5 selections and also a listing of all plays for each race. If there are any differences, please let me know.

*Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections. 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

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