07-14-2019 Los Alamitos Full Card

We hit the chalky late pick 4 yesterday to have a free day. Let’s end the meet on a winning note as we get ready to head to Del Mar on Wednesday!

If you are going to Del Mar this summer be sure to stop by and say Hi. I will be hosting the Newcomers Seminar every Friday and Sunday inside the main gate.

My Del Mar Season Pass is on sale now for only $150 a 40% discount! Sale ends the day before Del Mar begins.

Pick 5 I need a single is in race 3 Alfonso C in a race full of suspect horses if not this horse its an expensive spread race. Raced 5 wide last time 10 days ago for a trainer winning 24% sprinting and 26% on the year and shortens up today

Pick 4 I need a single is in race -none

Longshots of the Day:

Race 4: Old Trafford is 6-1 for red hot Callaghan and how can Man U fans not take this price! Sharp work for the debut, jockey on a streak and Sire wins 27%

Race 7: Meso races protected today for red-hot trainer John Sadler off a two month break. Regular works during that period tells me the trainer was just looking for the perfect spot to race. They race the horse protected today in a sign of optimism. Why risk a good horse right before Del Mar. With that in mind we have to assume they placed this horse to collect an easy paycheck. Tried dirt last out after two turf routes prior and blasted home to win by eight lengths handridden by today’s jockey Martin Pedroza. This is a wide open allowance race and 5-1 or more is a very nice value.

Race 8: Chatterman takes a big jump in class today but this horse loves to win and at this distance is 4-2-1 from 8 starts. Trainer Jesus Uranga is 45% winner last race (5 of 11) and 40% repeat claimer (4 of 10). He is 1 for 1 here and 33% on the year from a small sample size. The trainer also owns this horse. I especially like the race notes from the last two races going shorter (drew away, powered away), implying the distance should be no issue. Again the horse loves to win and we are getting an excellent value price of 8-1 or more. 

Today’s Race 5 Late Pick 4 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference.

6,3,4 (5)

1,4

2,5 (1)

6,3,4

Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference

5,3,4

3,2,1

7

4,1,2,3

2,5

Selections for each race with horses listed in preference

Race 1: 5,3,4

Race 2: 3,2,1

Race 3: 7

Race 4: 4,1,2,3

Race 5: 2,5

Race 6: 3 (2,4)

Race 7: 6,3,4 (5)

Race 8: 1,4

Race 9: 2,5 (1)

Race 10: 6,3,4

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections. 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *