05-04-2017 Santa Anita Free Plays

Well I did say I liked that card on Sunday and it turned in some nice pays for us with a couple of our longshots rolling home including Miyadi’s big price horse Cherokee Dynasty in race 3. We then ended our Pick 4 drought with a modest score but a score nonetheless. Let’s build on that bankroll for the big weekend of racing that is coming! The Pick 5 sequence today includes a 4 1/2 fl baby race. The last race today is probably the hardest one on the card and its on the Hillside course too. With a possible single in race 7 doing all in the last race still makes the ticket only $30.

 

 

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Possible singles today:

In race 2 a 4 1/2 baby race Whata Flirt is a standout based on bloodlines and the trainer Brocklebank who is 25% 1st time starts, 24% debut MSW and 21% overall plus he has a positive ROI across all those categories and Mommy has 7 winners from 7 starts and this trainer has been on fire at 3 of 6 recently. Phew! Oh we also get a sharp work into this one!

 

 

Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these

Race 1: Kiss At Midnight, this race is won by horses over 5-1, 39% of the time and Bejarano is riding this deep closer at 6-1 morning line

Race XX

Race XX

Race 6: My Heart Is Yours, Miyadi scored huge for us on Sunday and he races 2 horses in here but this one is 12-1 off the bench after 9 months and a weight break that at this distance could give the advantage. The money also poured in on this horse in the August debut at Del Mar. (SCRATCHED so Favorite from Miyadi is likely live)

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $30 with horses listed in preference.

3,6,7

5,7

2X

All

 

Alternative Pick 4 costs $12

3,6,7

5

2,X

6,5,9,10

 

Today’s Pick 5 will cost $24 with horses listed in preference.

1,2,3

8,X

XX

XX

3,6,7

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

 

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”