UPDATE: Race 5 use 5,2
WHAT A DAY! Great racing and HUGE payouts! Our $172 Pick 6 paid $53k! The late pick 4 paid $1,306. We had a $53 longshot winner in Race 9 and a $32 winner in the nightcap and both our Pick 4 singles won. All for small sized tickets! What a day! You can see yesterday’s card here.
Back to work we go today on a great nine race card. The late Pick 4 looks very tough like yesterday’s and could pay big again.
Pick 4 I need a single is in race 6 Jacks Diva because there is nothing else really in this race. Rosario/Sadler 57% win angle, top speed in here the tactic will be gate to wire but that may be the issue and why I am also hunting for price backups.
Pick 5 I need a single is race 2 Conquest Cobra 1st off the claim for Sadler and Rosario hops on and they are winning 57%, Sadler is 27% claim repeat
Longshots of the Day:
Race 1: Feeling Strong, Prat hops on this class dropper who closed great on dirt last out to finish second and tries routing on turf for the 1st time. Sharp work, 8-1 is a great price
Race 3: Kaydetre saw the lights come on last out switching to dirt for the first time and going gate to wire at a big price. Should have decent speed to close into today at a price. This is a tough race. I debated singling the Baffert horse with Talamo riding as the best Talamo rides are typical for this owner
Race 5: Treasure Hunter, the two Bafferts in here with blast early setting this race up for a closer and this is the best one in here. A bullet best of the day workout last week off a win going a Mile in February. The distance looks ideal cutting back from that last. Moving up in class and risked today they are looking to get paid at a great price
Race 6: Vezuchiy, gets a nice 7 pound weight break, adds blinkers for early speed for a trainer 16% dirt to turf. With the favorite having a tendency to fade in the stretch this weight break at this big price may be the difference maker
Race 8: Show It N Moe, there is going to be serious speed in this race so we want/need a closer with speed and this horse is tops. Can wire them or sit back and blast down the lane. Some bullet works like before the last two victories, we should get better than 5-1 as well
Race 9: Scrambled, the other Baltas and for this race again with the early speed I am looking for a closer that also has good speed. Rail post is winning 19% and Baltas is 19% off the bench, 19% 1st time routing
Today’s Race 8 Late Pick 4 will cost $40.50 depending on singles with horses listed in preference.
11,9,3
6,5,8
9,7,6
9,2,1
Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference
13,9, 8,4,6,2 (12 if 13 does not draw in)
6,(1)
4,1
6,4,7
5,1
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”