We have a packed card today of 10 races and an early start time of noon. I do have to ask though, what is with these bad odds on favorites so far at the meet. If you don’t single these horses the pays are not worth it and if you do they end up with bad rides running second or off the board. We are stuck using them to keep the tickets small but damn! Three of the 10 races are on the Hillside course today and we have a $2m Jackpot Pick 6 today that is going to juice all the pools.
Pick 5 I need a single is race 5 Shining Through who picks up Rosario for Hollendorfer. Sadler races another horse in this race and Rosario lands here which means this horse is live. Dorf is 23% beaten favorite, top speed in the race, best turf speed and trainer has been on fire in at the meet winning 5 of 15 in recently – 29% of those with Rosario. There is a 1st time Irish horse in this race as well, Thief of Joy.
Pick 4 I need a single is race 9 Roy H with Lopez flying in to ride. 1st start since winning in November. Has won 4 of 6 here, top speed at the distance, top speed in the race this is one of those “you must singles”.
Longshots of the Day:
Race 5: Thief of Joy 1st time Irish on turf, yadda yadda…you all know the drill!
Race 7: Of Good Report, 1st start since July at Del Mar blinkers come off today for O’Neill who is winning 20% on this move, he legs up Fig and they are winning 40% and 67% in the money. The inside post is no bargain but the Baffert horse should mean we get much higher than the 12-1 morning line. 1st time gelding too
Race 8: Street to Indy tries turf after having the top last race speed going 7fl on dirt. The late pace speed is what I’m eyeing here for this Hillside race. 2nd start off the layoff and 8-1 a price for the Hill where 31% of horses who win are over 5-1. Bedeviled also has excellent late pace, a sharp workout last week, trainer is 21% 1st off the claim and the weight break will be very handy. This is a grab bag race I am going deep in
Race 10: Daybreak, Rosario is riding a 1st time Euro. I am hoping we get more than 4-1. Inside post is no bargain on the Hill but Rosario is riding. They are risking for a claim 1st race in the states but top class, 1st time Euro angle
Today’s Race 7 Late Pick 4 will cost $36 depending on singles with horses listed in preference.
Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $24 with horses listed in preference
Today’s Race 5 Late Pick 5 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”