Hello everyone it’s back to handicapping we go today after sitting out yesterday’s rain soaked off track. There are still races listed on the turf today making the handicapping a little tough. Its Sunday will they take the races off or let them go as there will be even more rain in the coming days and no turf races likely Thursday/Friday? I am going to be looking to double the races before and after each of the races we have singles in. I really like today’s Late Pick 5.
Pick 4 I need a single is race 5 Fortnite Dancer for Gallagher who has won 5 of his last 6 maiden claimer favorites (he knows where to place them to win!) 1st time gelded trainer is 28% turf to dirt and 24% beaten favorite AND they add blinkers too. Everything done to get the paycheck today. If this horse does not win any other can and with low pays an ALL ticket is not cost effective. Single for me.
Pick 5 I need a single is race 4 Selcourt with no value at 2-5 1st start since a 12th place in the Breeders Cup in November that came off a 7 month break. Is this a prep leg-stretcher or an easy collect the paycheck race. We have to single. In race 2 Breakaway Dixie with the 1st time Rosario angle, North Cal trainer Wong ships down and he is 24% shipping, 26% 2nd time off a layoff, 23% route to sprint and based on the last races this cutback to 7 furlongs looks ideal. Trainer is 30% in claiming races and he owns this horse. Single!
Longshots of the Day:
Race 1: Diamond Blitz the other Desormeaux angle blasted off in the last race then faded. If Sanchez rations that early speed we could see a nice price pay of 12-1 or more
Race 3: True Valor Irish horse dropping in class off a 5 month break for Callaghan at a nice 8-1 morning line if this race stays on soggy turf this horse should like it
Race 5: Spitfire, 1st start in 6 months he races protected and if this race moves to dirt no issues as some of his best races were dirt and he has mud in his pedigree.
Race 7: Celebrate Life will have a simple strategy – gate to wire. Cutbacks a half furlong, dropping multiple classes for a trainer 22% on the move and 2nd start off the layoff
Today’s Race 6 Late Pick 4 will cost $12.50 depending on singles with horses listed in preference.
Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $30 with horses listed in preference
Today’s Race 5 Late Pick 5 will cost $62.50 with horses listed in preference
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”