We have nine very difficult races on today’s card. The late Pick 4 is another shopping affair with some longshot winners very likely in the Allowance races. We have done very well in these types of races recently.
Pick 4 I need a single is in race 6 Ce Ce who won her debut race last month with some serious speed for a red hot jockey recently (5 of 10). Two next out winners came out of that race showing how strong the win was. Singling here allows us to spread a lot in this hard Pick 4 sequence. If you want a backup play Lady Ninja is the play but she has a case of seconditius at this distance running second 2 of 3.
Pick 5 I need a single is in race 5 Causeforcommotion ran second in this mile and half race last year. 2nd start off the layoff and a sharp work recently. Take the low odds single!
Longshots of the Day:
Race 4: Commanding Chief is a debut horse for red hot Sadler who is winning 26% at the meet. Victor rides and he is winning 5 of 8 for 63% for Sadler. The horse cost $180k and has winning up and down the bloodlines with the dam having 6 winners from 4 starters including a stakes winner.
Race 7: Mongolian Greywolf, 2nd start off the long layoff, he runs protected today after being risked for a cheap tag last out on dirt. Was this a sneaky move hoping he would not be claimed to prep for his prefered surface and get a big price? Trainer Enebish Ganbat is winning 21% at the meet but he is 32% going dirt to turf like today. If this horse runs anything to last years Del Mar race speed we have a big price potential gate-to-wire winner. Jockey Martin Garcia has been hitting on some nice longshots of late. As a back-up I am also looking for a closer and Erotic with Flavian Prat riding for trainer Richard Mandella meets my criteria. Both wins have been under Prat and with the early speed in this race we have a closer to play catch up to our speedster. This is another Allowance race and these allowance races have been producing some nice value winners.
Race 8: Curlin Rules is another Sadler/Espinoza high win rate play like race 4. 1st start since last year off a Grade 3 race he runs protected today. Top speed in the race today and we have been very successful playing these dropping and protected stakes and graded horse in Allowance race lately. 6-1 is a great price
Today’s Race 6 Late Pick 4 will cost $60 or $30 depending on singles with horses listed in preference.
Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $70 with horses listed in preference
ALL or 1,5,6,3
Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.
For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”