12-29-2018 Santa Anita Full Card

Four of of five for the second day of the meet in the Pick 5 means we are right there for some nice payoffs if the logical favorites that we single just do their job! My Pick 4 and Pick 5 singles of the day both won but it was the other Desormeaux in race 2 that killed the ticket in a race I thought to single or go all. Despite not collecting a Pick 5 win YET it has been a good start to the meet. Lets collect today! We have an early start time of noon and ten races. The pays have been mediocre on the Pick 4 of late so I am going to be placing more emphasis on the Pick 5’s.

Race 2 the favorite wins only 10% while horses over 5-1 win 60% of the time

Pick 4 I need a single is race 10 Storming Lady with Rosario hoping on. Even though this is the Hillside course trainer Callaghan is 35% maiden to maiden claiming, 23% 2nd off the layoff and she is dropping in class today. Has failed as the favorite the last 3 times always getting caught but the jockey change today should lead to the win.

Pick 5 I need a single is race 4 Fahan Mura and the strategy like always will be gate to wire. Like River Boyne this horse loves Santa Anita with 5 wins and a second from 6 starts and hates Del Mar. Top speed gate to wire and I hope we get this great 5/2 morning line price! In race 5 Papa Turf comes off the bench for a trainer winning 31% 2nd off the claim. Gate to wire will be the strategy and we get 3 sharp works for today’s race.

Longshots of the Day:

Race 1: Speedette showed her name last out at GG flying from 7th place and 9+ lengths behind to run 2nd and lose by 3 lengths. That was the 1st try on turf and Kent hops on for his brother today and we get a giant 15-1 morning line price. Horses over 5-1 win this race 50% of the time with 7% being priced over 10-1. Best last race late pace in the field and her speed figures are as good as the top choices

Race 2: Rolls Royce Deal, as I mentioned above this race is won by horses over 5-1 60% of the time. Horse is 1-1 from 2 starts at the distance, picks up Fig and his weight break, has as much speed at the top choices and goes from route to sprint

Today’s Race 7 Late Pick 4 will cost $12 depending on singles with horses listed in preference.

11,10,6

9,8 (9 can be a single)

8,2 (7)

3,10 (9,11) (3 can be a single)

Today’s Race 1 Early Pick 5 will cost $20 with horses listed in preference

8,4,5,7,6

3,4,5,8

7 (8,11)

4 (3,8)

4,3

Today’s Race 6 Late Pick 5 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference

6,9,8

11,10,6

9,8

8,2 (7)

3,10 (9,11)

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”