10-14-2018 Santa Anita Full Card

Morning rain totally jacked up the card yesterday sending all the turf races to dirt and the ensuing scratches made it an impossible card. We have 3 turf races today so hopefully we don’t see them moved. If they are and we have scratches I am not making any changes. This is a very tough card today. Keep it tight!

 

Pick 4 I need a single is race 8 Avanti Bello who gets win rider Prat back after the second last out. Prior when Prat rode it was a win. The race before he did not. The race before that Prat rode to a win. Prat back on means business and they are risking for a tag today. O’Neill is 26% beaten favorite and this horse has the top speed in here. Single for me.

 

Pick 5 I need a single is in race  – none today

 

Longshots of the Day:

Race 4: Weekly Call, tries turf and drops in class for O’Neill and there is turf in the bloodlines. Trainer is 30%moving from maiden to maiden claiming so when this trainer risks a horse he expects to get the purse money too. This is the kind of horse Bejarano is winning on lately

Race 7: Samandah, debuts for a trainer who is winless in this category but she cost a lot of money and Franco legs up and he is 29% for this trainer. This race is wide open with the jockets being the only angle we really have to handicap

Race 9: Denman’s Call, Bejarano rides for O’Neill and lately he is starting to get a win a day. They try turf today for a horse that was racing G1 and G2 races at Del Mar in August, poorly I might add. 12-1 or more Hillside price I am willing to take a shot for a big price and they are protecting this horse today even with the bad races. Interesting at a big price. Rosario rode this horse at Del Mar just to show you they think there is ability

 

Today’s Race 6 Late Pick 4 will cost $30 depending on singles with horses listed in preference.

3,2,4

8,5,3,6,4

5(3,4)

5,2,6,9

 

Today’s Early Pick 5 will cost $48 with singles with horses listed in preference

3,1,4 (6)

7,4 (2)

1,2 (5)

3,4,8,7

2,5

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”