10-07-2018 Santa Anita Full Card

We have a nice 10 race card today with a Pick 4 sequence that can chalk or pay big! Does one single in the last two legs of the Pick 4 today and settle for low pays or does one swing for the fences, looking for chaos and score a big win? Today I have some options for all those scenarios.

 

Pick 4 I need a single is race 10 Way to Versailles 1st start for Miller with Prat riding and they are 47%. Has won 2 of the last 4 back East and stretches out today and the Miller/Prat/Barber angle is a winning one this year. Has not raced since the July victory but regular works. Miller had his eye on this race and 7/2 for a dropping G2 winner is a gift

 

Pick 5 I need a single is in race 2 Typhoon Harry 1st off the claim for O’Neill who legs up Bejarano and they are 14-28 or 50% in the last 2 years 1st off the claim. When Rafael rides O’Neill means business

 

 

Longshots of the Day:

Race 6: Hero for Hire, returns to dirt and ships in off a 2nd last out. The last 5 races have a 2-3-0 record so a must use in all exotics. Trainer is 22% 2nd off the claim. Claimed up North shipped down and raised in class, looks sneaky at a big price

Race 7: Astonishing Tweet, debuting on the Hillside course is tough but Prat is lured by McCarthy with a series of sharp works. Prat is 40% for the red hot trainer who is 36% so far here. The favorite only wins this race 17% of the time and 42% of winners are 5-1 or more

Race 8: Poppy’s C Note, nothing on paper but it’s a Myadi class dropper and he legs up Roman. Poppy has been bet to low odds in the last two starts and today we get 8-1 or more as they risk for a tag, live at a price for a cagey trainer!

Race 10: Tonahutu, won last out at the beach under Prat and ran second prior. Prat moves to the #1 horse for Miller but Stevens picks the mount up. Moving up in class the race shape may work out perfect as all the speed in here cancel each other out for a closing winner at a price

 

Today’s Race 8 Late Pick 4 will cost $90 or $18 or $6 depending on singles with horses listed in preference.

1,5,9,10

4,1,5

1,7,3,5,6 (1 single to reduce bet)

1,8,10 (1 single to reduce bet)

 

Today’s Early Pick 5 will cost $36 with singles with horses listed in preference

5,4,3

6,5,2

5,6

7,8

5,3

 

 

Race 6:

1,6,4

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”