09-30-2017 Santa Anita Free Plays

A rare race card awaits us today with 11 races that include zero claiming races. I cannot remember the last time I saw such a great card as this is So Cal! The bombs were flying yesterday resulting in large payouts and a carryover in the Pick 6 pool. The opening weekend at Santa Anita over the years, especially when the Pick 4 pool is guaranteed for $750k, tend to be giant so lets see if we can grab some of those winnings. My ticket sizes today will be my standard sizes but there will be longshots in there to snag those winnings!

 

Both of my Beatable Favorite calls yesterday came to pass and it is something I will be adding to each card when there are such bad favorites! The Pick 4 begins in race 8 today, the Grade 1 Frontrunner and has 3 graded races today and then ends on the Hillside course!

 

 

Get today’s full card for only $8 or the 19 day race card for 50% off

 

http://californiapick4.com/handicapping-products/

                   

Beatable favorite:

Race 3 Instilled Regard with Smith riding for Hollendorfer who is ice cold in So Cal and Smith is 0 for 6 for trainer, they ran 2nd last out after sitting 12 miles off the pace (no surprise). In a Pick 5 sequence that needs a single to manage the ticket price I don’t believe this is the one.

 

 

Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these

Race 3: XX

Race 6: Popyhowuspelcupcak has won 2 of 3 for a trainer 21% winner last race and 18% on turf, win rider Bejarano bails but 12-1 or more for a horse that simply loves to pass horses in the stretch at this distance with a race loaded with frontrunners we must use

Race 10: XX

Race 11: XX

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $36 to $45 with horses listed in preference.

4,1,8

10,5

8,4,X

3,6,X,X,X

 

Today’s Pick 5 will cost $27 with horses listed in preference.

XX

 

Race 6-7:

5,X

X,X

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

 

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”