07-28-2017 Del Mar Full Card

UPDATE: race 1 use #5

Race 7 use #3

 

We went 3 of 4 on our cheap ticket getting taken out in the 1st leg with our horse running second yet again. We continue to be right there! Friday racing begins at 4pm. The rails on the turf course are again at 30 feet so front runners again should have the upper hand.

 

Today’s Full Card including the Pick 6 is only $8

 

http://californiapick4.com/handicapping-products/

 

 

Race 5 is won by a horse under 5-1 a whopping 89% of the time, an unusually high stat for this race track. In race 8 the winner has been priced under 5-1 80% of the time. Translation – not races to look for longshots and that gives us ammo in other legs!

 

 

Best Bets:

None today – longshot shopping

 

Longshots of the Day:

Race 1; Faith Factor debuts for an out of state trainer who brings his jockey with him, mommy has 4 winners from 5 starters including a stakes winner, trainer is 26% debut maiden claiming, 20% 1st time start and he owns this horse, ship n win winner at a big price I think!

Race 2: Cammy’s Music, stretches out for 1st route off a win last out for a trainer 14% on this move but for a positive ROI, jockey is 2 of 3 for trainer, we also get a sharp work

Race 3: Hank the Tank, off since Del Mar last year with same jockey riding back drops into a claimer and with bills to pay and it being Del Mar he should be live at a very nice price in here, trainer is 21% claiming races, tries turf for the 1st time and trainer owns, appears live on paper!

Race 4: Paschalitsa, Roman hops on this speedster, scratched out of a turf race yesterday with a morning line of 20-1 to run here at 7-1, Prat rode to victory last time going 7fl, sharp work, last race saw 2 next out winners whom she beat

Race 7: Incredible Luck, Blanc has won last 2 on this horse with two seconds prior, early speed with rails out for a trainer 18% winner last race, we get 6-1 or higher

SCRATCHED  –Calvert Street, has won 4 of last 5 including the last out on the Hill in gate to wire fashion, Roman bails to ride the favorite so if he was here I doubt we would be getting this 20-1 price but we do get the weight break with Solis in the irons. The strategy here is simple – gate to wire and hope to hold on!

 

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $36 with horses listed in preference.

3,1

6,4

2,7,8,10,12,3

2,1,6

 

 

Today’s Pick 5 will cost $54 with horses listed in preference

2,7 (5)

1,2,6

3,4,8

3,5,9

3,1

 

 

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”