05-27-2017 Santa Anita Free Plays

Big fields await us today but there are some price horses I like in races with “sure things”. In race 3 Miller has a dominating horse in Stormy Liberal but this Hillside race is won by the favorite a paltry 13% and by horses over 5-1 and eye popping 79% from 23 races! As we have seen the last couple of days with moderate payoffs while the chalks have been winning there are some big prices mixed in too. I’ve structured my sequences today to get a nice mix of both.

 

 

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Possible singles today:

In race 1 One I’m Running To a speedball picks up Ortiz for Miyadi and should blow the rest of the field out of the water, 4-1 is a great price

 

In race 4 Honor and Courage comes in with a case of seconditus and twice at this distance got nosed on the line. He again rides super light with Roman in the irons, 2nd start off the layoff for Hollendorfer who is 26% beaten fav, 22% wnd off the layoff

 

Longshots of the Day: Win/place bets on these

Race 1: Tchula Sunset, distance looks ideal on the large class drop is 2-1 from 6 at distance, a backup up in case the fav does not blow them away!

Race 3: XXX

Race 5: XX

Race 6: Boy Howdy, stretches out off a win last out and a 2nd prior for Talamo and the horse he beat last time dominated next out, we get 8-1 or more in a tough race

Race 7: XXX

Race 9: Ample Sufficiency, 1st time Irish runner need I say more? Last raced down the road from where I grew up, ran very well in stacked fields and Euro turfers are just so much better than homegrown ones

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $48 with horses listed in preference.

4,8,5

4,X,8,X

5,2

2,X,5,X

 

Today’s Pick 5 will cost $31 with horses listed in preference.

3,2

XX

XX

2,XX

6,X

 

Alternative Pick 5 costs $12

3

XX

XX

2

6,X

 

 

Horses listed in brackets are for added coverage if wanted and for exotics.

 

For races where I only have one or two selections I usually like to KEY the top choice  with the second choice and an outside for trifectas.

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Irish horse racing saying –

“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”

“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”