Tough sledding as we hit the chalky Pick 4 yesterday on our small bet and still lost money with the payout coming in at $16! In each leg though, our alternate picks were right there into the stretch so our handicapping was there. Let’s see if we can keep the ball rolling and make some money on the Pick 4 today! Yesterday’s Pick 4 was bookended with sprints and today we get the Hill on both ends of the sequence!
Race 5 begins the sequence today on the Hillside and we have a few horses who have done very well here including the 5/2 favorite #7 Forest Chatter who is an impressive 5 of 5 on the Hill! Off for three months since a disappointing 4th going 7f, workouts began a month ago. He’s won rising in class and an absolute must use and if you need a single this is not a bad one at all in the sequence. #4 Pay the Fine jumps off the page for me here. Gutierrez/O’Neill/Reddam are a potent combo especially in the last two weeks (7-3-1-1) and this horse is 20-1 morning line with a 2 for 4 record on the Hill. His last two races have been on the dirt (6th and 3rd) and the workouts don’t jump off the page but we are going off his Hill record and the fact we get a huge price. The other Hill expert in here is #6 McHeat who is 2 for 2 here. He bobbled at the start going longer 3 weeks ago and closed like a train to run 4th, missing by only 2 lengths. Impressive!
ShowVivor Pick – Nusret Race 1
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $18 with horses listed in preference.
Alternative Pick 4 using the DRF matrix costs $111. I like my cheap pick 4 today so on the matrix those are all my “A” entries. The matrix fills in the blanks in case some ‘C’s come up in any of the legs. If you want to reduce it further in price you can make #7 in the first leg the only A and #4 and 6, 2 and 10 as “C”s and that drops the ticket to $69
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Irish horse racing saying –
“Bíonn grásta Dé idir an dialait agus an talamh.”
“The grace of God is found between the saddle and the ground.”