Well we had 3 of 4 again and would have won a MASSIVE payoff of $21 if the race was 2 yards longer but my Pick 4 bet was only $15. There is a method to the madness of keeping tickets under $45. Even with the huge outsider in the last leg the Pick 4 was relatively small. It’s the last day of a very profitable year so let’s see if we can get the win today!
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In the first leg I am not going to use the favorite #5 Noble Kent who raced 4th on Dec 3rd. Instead I am going with #2 Carlsbad Mountain seeking his 3rd straight win. I also like #6 Ice Cream Truck who won going a mile November 7th.
The lowest price in the second leg is 7/2 so I am going to spread here and use 4 horse. #1 China Girl Lover is always around the line. If I had to single a horse in this leg it would be Smith on #4 Captain Tim invading from back east but moving up in class. #9 Got Even will lead as far as he can and the distance may be too much but if Maldonado does not get pressed maybe he can ration that speed and hold on. Horses this close so often tend to get their win when you don’t use. To counter our last choice I will use #8 Grazen Sky who will come flying from the clouds although this distance is not been kind to closers of late.
#1 Trust Your Gut is moving up in class off a win at this distance last out but is always in the mix. The favorite is #7 Path of David is another potential single if you need one. He’s moving up in class off a very nice win last out. #6 Imperious One had ran bad in his US debut in a G3 but I am giving Euro horses a go again so with Bejarano choosing to ride again I will use.
In the last leg I am only going 2 deep using the 1st and second choices. #9 Adair has been rattling off bullets since running 3rd last month. #4 Spirit World beat Adair last out and is getting better each time he runs.
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $24 with horses listed in preference.
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.
Live Longshots: race 1 #2 Bright Light and Race 3 Im Zonin
Pick 5 will cost $24