Santa Anita 10-24-2015

10-24-2015

 

For some today the Pick 4 sequence will have two free spots with both Om and Dortmund racing and after going through the form today that will be my approach. The opening and closing legs are not easy ones either so if you believe the ALL, single, single, ALL approach will only cost $44.50.

 

 

We start the sequence today with a maiden special weight going 5 1/2. Yikes! The favorite today is a money burner in two starts, #2 Arabian Leopard for Baffert who is 38% sprint to route to sprint. That last race was horrid though and Baffert puts Espinoza up. Baffert sends out three horse today and none of them are screaming buys or short prices. If you use one you have to use all but yuck! Bejarano rides a Dorf firster #9 Jury but he has been training at Los Al and not here and that’s something I don’t like. You know I could pick 5-6 horses in this race. and still miss so this does appear to be an all race.  #5 Papa Papa Papa put in a sharp work with Graham who has won for a big price with this trainer already this meet.

 

Race 7 brings us #3 Om who won in gate to wire fashion in the G2 at Del Mar after running third in a G3 there in August. The Santa Anita turf track has been dominated this shortened season by front runners and that is perfect for Om today. You can look to others in here but I am singling. Others mildly interesting in here include #1 Hunt who was ridden to a second place finish by Smith in his US debut with a late charge to just miss (what a surprise, not!) and rises in class and adds distance. #2 Mister Brightside is a firster from England who also adds distance and races in a higher class but adds Lasix and had a sharp workout. I however am taking the short price on Om and moving on.

 

#5 Dortmund won six straight races and then ran into American Pharoah on the Derby trail. Freshened since May he has put in two best of the day bullet works here at Santa Anita in a row. He is unbeaten at Santa Anita and cuts back for today’s race too. Is today a prep race though? There was a time that when you beat one Baffert horse who bet them both but those days have passed in the last 2 years. He also races #1 Cat Burglar who has 3 wins and two seconds from five races at Santa Anita. #3 Point Piper scored a HUGE win for us at Del Mar in August and drops today. Races like this are tough for me today because I usually bet to beat the sure things. However, today it feels as though these two favorites are legit.

 

The final leg brings us maidens racing a mile on turf. Proctor races the favorite in here #10 British Bulldog but Stevens does not ride, Smith does, ugg! It’s not like Smith rode this horse in his debut so we need to see who Stevens is riding and that is #7 Canada who he rode last out to 7th pace finish on a troubled trip. He is a come from behind horse in a turf race favoring front runners however. We have two bug boys racing here with big time weight breaks. Red hot rookie Kennedy hops on firster #3 Opening Roads who put in a sharp workout last week. Paddy Gallagher who is finally starting to get some wins has Bruno riding #2 Fin de Semaine who also put in a sharp workout. Light weight both these horses may try to gun for the lead and try to hold on so let’s throw them on the ticket. In fact this is another ALL ticket.

 

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $44.50 horses listed in preference

All

3

5

All

 

 

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.

 

Good Luck today!