At least the tickets were small yesterday and the Pick 4 paid only $119 but still the win would have been nice. We did all in the first leg hoping for chaos and chaos is what we almost got with two high priced horses bobbed on the line by the favorite. This is not an easy sequence today so I am keeping the bet small again.
In the first leg hot jockey Prat rides #7 Unusual Storm for a trainer who is 1 for 2 second time turf. The favorite wins this race 42% of the time at a price 5-1 or less from 16 races but price horse 5-1 or more win the other 50%! #11 Almost Reality looks like today’s added distance will help a lot. #8 Just Got Lucky gets a jockey upgrade to Bejarano after two 3rd place finishes and adds blinkers today. The only horse with a fast workout to key in on is #2 Lily Kai for a trainer winning 23% going from a sprint to a route.
In race 6 #1 Ain’t No Other drops to the level of the level of his last win and has been 1st or second in 21 of 43 starts in his career. Prat rides #6 Oligarch here for a trainer winning 25% claim repeating. Seeking a third straight win after a sharp workout last week if you want to single this is not a bad one to try on. And the morning line here is 9/2 with #7 Midnight Transfer the favorite. I am not going to use Transfer here.
#2 Kadesha from the Hess/Desormeaux tandem won last out in May but runs the furthest ever in today’s race. Two seconds at Del Mar in the fall. #3 Halljoy is the favorite here today and may find this distance today ideal.
In the finale today #1 West Coast Storm moves up in class after a win last out and a second prior to that. #6 I Heart You is very popular at the claiming box. #7 Emerald Green is shipping in for a trainer who wins 22% on this move and shortens up after being caught at the line running longer last out.
Best bet today is in race #4, Gravity Force who is dropping today for Baltas who wins 35% on this move. A fast workout last week and Bejarano riding all systems go.
Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $24 with horses listed in preference
When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections