Del Mar 07-22-2015

07-22-2015

 

The rain fell again on Sunday pushing races off the turf onto the sloppy dirt track. You can tell they did a great job on the new track however because once the rain stopped the water drained off fast. We get an extra day of racing now at the Del Mar meet so lets see if we can get paid today!

 

In the first leg race 5 #9 Heat looks good on the stretch-out off a second place finish in June on the Hillside course. He only lost by less than a length in that race. Talamo, who rides #11 Diablo Caballero, is second in the jockey standings and Diablo is racing 2nd off a layoff with two seconds. From a 12 race sample this race is won by a horse 5-1 or more 50% of the time. If you can find singles in another leg this is not a bad all race hoping for some carnage.

 

In race #6 Bejarano had choices and went with #1 All Star Bud who is dropping off a win last out for Hollendorfer who wins 27% with this move. The favorite here today is #5 Savings Account with Smith riding. A fast workout over this track last week this ship n win candidate is a possible single. #6 Divina Comedia legs up Talamo and moves up in class after a win last out for a trainer who wins 24% when a winner last out.

 

#4 Kulik Lodge is another possible single candidate for punters in race 7.  Bidding for a 5th straight win with Smith riding it does seem the logical play. Strangely enough the morning line has #11 Winning Prize as the favorite even thought Bejarano chose to ride another. Prize is dropping. I actually prefer the horse Bejarano is riding, the #2 Footstepsinbronze who is moving up in class and today’s distance seems perfect.

 

In the last race Bejarano rides the morning line favorite #1 Dixie Tweet. Dropping in class and third off a layoff I will use. Trainer Glatt wins 36% dropping two or more classes and with Bejarano they have won 2 of 5 with a flat bet profit of 1.68. Going off stats this is a possible single even though this horse has done little to merit. I like #8 Luvuryan who is dropping big today for a trainer who wins 28% on this move.  Luv runs on dirt today and the two previous times on dirt where better than all previous turf tries.

 

Today’s Late Pick 4 will cost $6 with horses listed in preference

ALL

5

4

1

 

A spread bet in the Pick 4 will cost $18

9,5

5,6,1

4,2,11

1,8

 

 

Pick 5

3,1

3,

3,1

2,8,1

9,11 (if doing all in this leg then single #3 in race 3)

 

When I have three horses selected in a Pick 4 or Pick 5 consider them for Trifecta boxes and for superfecta boxes use the 3 selections with the highest priced horse with good form or top tier jockeys riding, especially if they give a price. Rolling Pick 3 and doubles using selections.