Santa Anita 04/26/2016

04-26-2015

 

We swung and we missed on both our Best Bet and The Pick 4 yesterday. Still, with the 50c Pick 4 paying $18k we can’t be too disappointed. Plus, we made it to leg three after scoring with our first choice K Thirty Eight Street in the second leg. You could have bet $100 on different combo’s yesterday and still had the same result!

 

 

We start today’s Pick 4 on the Hillside course. The morning line favorite is #8 Divina Comedian who makes her first start after stakes racing in France. 1st time Lasix plus Talamo on board (he has been really quiet these past few months and if there’s a jockey due for a heater its him!). Baze picks up the mount on #7 Thewandaofu who ran well in England but like so many Euro imports has done poorly since arriving. Fast workouts over the last two weeks and Baze could mean she’s ready at a price.  This race also has a bomb win rate of 14%. Trainer Simon Callaghan also sends out #4 Artistic Charm with Bejarano riding. She also posted a fast workout a week ago after coming in third in her US debut here in March.

 

 

In race 6 the favorite is #4 Old Man Lake who has rattled off two straight wins and posted a sharp workout last in the last week. I am also going to yet again dip into the Desormeaux brothers tandem with #7 Alpine Luck. I like this tandem, I live in Alpine and I need some luck! Two second place finishes could mean its time for a picture to be taken!

 

 

In race 7 I am strongly considering singling #8 Birdlover. She has won two in a row and has 4 wins and 4 seconds from 8 starts here. Bejarano rides but she is moving up in class. I have bet #4 Blingismything every time she has raced, last year that was profitable, this year it has been a tease. Baze however takes the reigns and he is 3 for 3 with trainer Krulija over the last two weeks so how do I not use today? You may also consider #7 Indecise who posted a sharp workout last week and who always gives you your money’s worth in a race. 83% of the time this race is won by a horse 5-1 or less so no bomb shopping here!

 

 

For those looking for an exotics bet in the last race #6 Salt of the Earth at 12-1 is a horse who loves to run second. An upset at a price today? The Desormeaux brothers team up on the favorite #9 Dually Affirmed who is dropping today and moves turf to dirt. I am going to go cheap today on the ticket and stick with these two.

 

 

Today’s Pick 4 bet will cost $18

4,8,7

4,7

4,7,8

6,9

 

If you want to get out of the Hillside race with a bomb then consider this $12 bet

ALL

4,7

8

9

 

 

My BEST BET did squat yesterday coming in 4th. Today I was looking at Alpha Doll as my best bet in race two. However, I love race stats and in race 3 the #3 Wandering Heart goes out for a trainer who is 6 of 7 when the favorite and 12-22 on turf when favorite! So I will go with a $5 Daily Double #5 Alpha Doll with #3 Wandering Heart. I will also try a $5 win on Wandering Heart.