Well we didn’t have to worry about being close yesterday! What a crazy set of results. Today’s Pick 4 is Guaranteed for $500k. It’s also my little sisters wedding so it should be a great day! Congrats Aisling.
In the first leg #8 Vow Me Over is the morning line favorite. She was second on dirt in her last and ran forth on the Hillside course prior to that. Today’s race is on the Hillside. Bejarano also rides. This particular race has only been run 7 times with zero favorites winning so it is a very small sample size but 3 of 7 winners were priced over 10-1 and 2 were under 5. We have a lot of first time runners here so we are going to take a shot on a couple. #3 Class Divine has posted 4 bullet works since starting training in December including three straight over the last month. She has a lot of winners in her bloodline. #12 Dragon Eyes is another 1st timer with a series of bullet works recently for Desormeaux and Sise who are 2 for 6, 33%. #6 LA Magic is the bomb in the field at 20-1 but her jockey Gonzalez has been heating up in the last week (4 of 13). I like the name, the jockey is hot and this is the Hillside course. Laugh but sometimes this is how you win! #7 Princess Ashlyn had a sharp workout last week and its close to my little sis’s name! Finally I will use #2 Ivana Beat Yabad who drops and adds blinkers and had some good workouts recently.
Race 7 brings us a couple of horses away for a long time who dominated in their last races: #7 Imwiththeblonde and #9 Crushed Velvet from the Baffert/Garcia team. I’m going to use both. #2 Courageous Call bounced in her last race after a very good effort and now shortens in distance and with all the speed in this race can hang back and pounce in the stretch. Ellis is also 29% 3rd off a layoff.
In race 8 #8 Finnegans Wake goes for his fourth in a row and is a logical single for many handicappers. I also like #9 Ashleyluvssugar even though he is rising in class. Stevens takes over for Mike Smith today.
In the finale #14 Captain Carchy off two straight seconds is the morning line favorite and this race is won by the favorite 42% of the time. He is a late runner that today may finally get his picture taken. #7 Rodeado with Talamo on moves from a route to a sprint for a trainer that wins 41% of the time with this strategy.
Good luck today!
Today’s Pick 4 bet will cost $36
A backup bet hoping for a bomb other than the ones we have on the Hill will cost $12